**Latest high-resolution forecasts position 31–33°C as the most likely range for Paris’s daily maximum on September 15, 2026.** Multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs initialized September 13, show afternoon peaks of 30–32°C (86–90°F) under mostly clear skies and southwesterly flow advecting warmer air from the south. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32°C (45.5%), followed by 31°C and 33°C (each ~20.5%). Low precipitation probability (<10%) and moderate winds support efficient daytime heating above the seasonal average of ~21–22°C. Ensemble spread remains modest, with limited upside risk above 34°C or downside below 30°C given the stable synoptic pattern and short lead time. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance on the 14th will provide the final refinement before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on September 15?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 15?
32°C 47%
31°C 22%
33°C 19%
30°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
26°C or below
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
22%
32°C
47%
33°C
19%
34°C
5%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
2%
32°C 47%
31°C 22%
33°C 19%
30°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
26°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$7 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$15 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
31°C
$205 ปริมาณ
22%
32°C
$1,622 ปริมาณ
47%
33°C
$6 ปริมาณ
19%
34°C
$88 ปริมาณ
5%
35°C
$10 ปริมาณ
4%
36°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest high-resolution forecasts position 31–33°C as the most likely range for Paris’s daily maximum on September 15, 2026.** Multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs initialized September 13, show afternoon peaks of 30–32°C (86–90°F) under mostly clear skies and southwesterly flow advecting warmer air from the south. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32°C (45.5%), followed by 31°C and 33°C (each ~20.5%). Low precipitation probability (<10%) and moderate winds support efficient daytime heating above the seasonal average of ~21–22°C. Ensemble spread remains modest, with limited upside risk above 34°C or downside below 30°C given the stable synoptic pattern and short lead time. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance on the 14th will provide the final refinement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,978วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest high-resolution forecasts position 31–33°C as the most likely range for Paris’s daily maximum on September 15, 2026.** Multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs initialized September 13, show afternoon peaks of 30–32°C (86–90°F) under mostly clear skies and southwesterly flow advecting warmer air from the south. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32°C (45.5%), followed by 31°C and 33°C (each ~20.5%). Low precipitation probability (<10%) and moderate winds support efficient daytime heating above the seasonal average of ~21–22°C. Ensemble spread remains modest, with limited upside risk above 34°C or downside below 30°C given the stable synoptic pattern and short lead time. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance on the 14th will provide the final refinement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,978วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Latest high-resolution forecasts position 31–33°C as the most likely range for Paris’s daily maximum on September 15, 2026.** Multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs initialized September 13, show afternoon peaks of 30–32°C (86–90°F) under mostly clear skies and southwesterly flow advecting warmer air from the south. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32°C (45.5%), followed by 31°C and 33°C (each ~20.5%). Low precipitation probability (<10%) and moderate winds support efficient daytime heating above the seasonal average of ~21–22°C. Ensemble spread remains modest, with limited upside risk above 34°C or downside below 30°C given the stable synoptic pattern and short lead time. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance on the 14th will provide the final refinement before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย