The official National Weather Service climatological summary for downtown Los Angeles recorded a minimum temperature of 68°F on September 15, 2026, at 3:20 a.m. local time, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 68-69°F outcome at 97.5% implied probability. This value exceeded the 1991-2020 normal low of 64°F amid a stable marine layer and light southerly flow that limited overnight radiational cooling, consistent with preliminary hourly observations from Los Angeles International Airport showing similar mid-60s readings. Trader consensus reflects the verified observational data rather than forecasts, with minimal uncertainty once the daily report was issued. Revisions to the official station reading or resolution criteria specifying a different measurement site remain the primary scenarios that could alter positioning before final settlement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 15?
68-69°F 98%
61°F or below 87%
66-67°F 48%
64-65°F 47%
$929 ปริมาณ
$929 ปริมาณ
Sep 15, 2026
61°F or below
87%
62-63°F
38%
64-65°F
47%
66-67°F
48%
68-69°F
98%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 98%
61°F or below 87%
66-67°F 48%
64-65°F 47%
$929 ปริมาณ
$929 ปริมาณ
Sep 15, 2026
61°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
87%
62-63°F
$5 ปริมาณ
38%
64-65°F
$6 ปริมาณ
47%
66-67°F
$142 ปริมาณ
48%
68-69°F
$325 ปริมาณ
98%
70-71°F
$452 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
80°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The official National Weather Service climatological summary for downtown Los Angeles recorded a minimum temperature of 68°F on September 15, 2026, at 3:20 a.m. local time, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 68-69°F outcome at 97.5% implied probability. This value exceeded the 1991-2020 normal low of 64°F amid a stable marine layer and light southerly flow that limited overnight radiational cooling, consistent with preliminary hourly observations from Los Angeles International Airport showing similar mid-60s readings. Trader consensus reflects the verified observational data rather than forecasts, with minimal uncertainty once the daily report was issued. Revisions to the official station reading or resolution criteria specifying a different measurement site remain the primary scenarios that could alter positioning before final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$929วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The official National Weather Service climatological summary for downtown Los Angeles recorded a minimum temperature of 68°F on September 15, 2026, at 3:20 a.m. local time, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 68-69°F outcome at 97.5% implied probability. This value exceeded the 1991-2020 normal low of 64°F amid a stable marine layer and light southerly flow that limited overnight radiational cooling, consistent with preliminary hourly observations from Los Angeles International Airport showing similar mid-60s readings. Trader consensus reflects the verified observational data rather than forecasts, with minimal uncertainty once the daily report was issued. Revisions to the official station reading or resolution criteria specifying a different measurement site remain the primary scenarios that could alter positioning before final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$929วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The official National Weather Service climatological summary for downtown Los Angeles recorded a minimum temperature of 68°F on September 15, 2026, at 3:20 a.m. local time, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 68-69°F outcome at 97.5% implied probability. This value exceeded the 1991-2020 normal low of 64°F amid a stable marine layer and light southerly flow that limited overnight radiational cooling, consistent with preliminary hourly observations from Los Angeles International Airport showing similar mid-60s readings. Trader consensus reflects the verified observational data rather than forecasts, with minimal uncertainty once the daily report was issued. Revisions to the official station reading or resolution criteria specifying a different measurement site remain the primary scenarios that could alter positioning before final settlement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย