Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Global Forecast System indicates a high temperature of 28–29°C for Shanghai on September 16 under stable northeasterly winds and partly cloudy conditions, supporting the market’s strong preference for 28°C at 53.5% implied probability. Typical early-autumn moderation after peak summer warmth, combined with consistent pressure around 1017–1019 hPa and low precipitation chances, reduces the likelihood of significant deviations. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range between 27°C and 29°C outcomes against minor model spread in maximum readings, with 27°C holding secondary support at 38% amid slight cooling potential from increased cloud cover. Updated runs closer to the date will clarify any adjustments from steering patterns or local urban heat effects.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 16?
28°C 54%
27°C 38%
29°C 7%
26°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
38%
28°C
54%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 54%
27°C 38%
29°C 7%
26°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
26°C
$11 ปริมาณ
6%
27°C
$31 ปริมาณ
38%
28°C
$142 ปริมาณ
54%
29°C
$26 ปริมาณ
7%
30°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
33°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Global Forecast System indicates a high temperature of 28–29°C for Shanghai on September 16 under stable northeasterly winds and partly cloudy conditions, supporting the market’s strong preference for 28°C at 53.5% implied probability. Typical early-autumn moderation after peak summer warmth, combined with consistent pressure around 1017–1019 hPa and low precipitation chances, reduces the likelihood of significant deviations. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range between 27°C and 29°C outcomes against minor model spread in maximum readings, with 27°C holding secondary support at 38% amid slight cooling potential from increased cloud cover. Updated runs closer to the date will clarify any adjustments from steering patterns or local urban heat effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$225วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Global Forecast System indicates a high temperature of 28–29°C for Shanghai on September 16 under stable northeasterly winds and partly cloudy conditions, supporting the market’s strong preference for 28°C at 53.5% implied probability. Typical early-autumn moderation after peak summer warmth, combined with consistent pressure around 1017–1019 hPa and low precipitation chances, reduces the likelihood of significant deviations. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range between 27°C and 29°C outcomes against minor model spread in maximum readings, with 27°C holding secondary support at 38% amid slight cooling potential from increased cloud cover. Updated runs closer to the date will clarify any adjustments from steering patterns or local urban heat effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$225วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Global Forecast System indicates a high temperature of 28–29°C for Shanghai on September 16 under stable northeasterly winds and partly cloudy conditions, supporting the market’s strong preference for 28°C at 53.5% implied probability. Typical early-autumn moderation after peak summer warmth, combined with consistent pressure around 1017–1019 hPa and low precipitation chances, reduces the likelihood of significant deviations. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range between 27°C and 29°C outcomes against minor model spread in maximum readings, with 27°C holding secondary support at 38% amid slight cooling potential from increased cloud cover. Updated runs closer to the date will clarify any adjustments from steering patterns or local urban heat effects.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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