Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs for September 16 in Manila indicate afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover from the southwest monsoon will likely cap daytime heating, producing maximum temperatures in the low 30s Celsius amid high humidity and light winds. Trader emphasis on 32–33 °C outcomes reflects model spread in thunderstorm timing and coverage; earlier or weaker rain allows brief clear periods that push readings higher, while heavier or earlier precipitation keeps values nearer 30–31 °C. These short-range forecasts carry typical uncertainty ranges of 1–2 °C tied to mesoscale convective development, with official PAGASA updates and next model cycles expected to refine the range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on September 16?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 16?
33°C 39%
32°C 31%
31°C 14%
29°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
26°C or below
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
10%
29°C
12%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
31%
33°C
39%
34°C
10%
35°C
8%
36°C or higher
2%
33°C 39%
32°C 31%
31°C 14%
29°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
26°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
32°C
$20 ปริมาณ
31%
33°C
$709 ปริมาณ
39%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
36°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs for September 16 in Manila indicate afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover from the southwest monsoon will likely cap daytime heating, producing maximum temperatures in the low 30s Celsius amid high humidity and light winds. Trader emphasis on 32–33 °C outcomes reflects model spread in thunderstorm timing and coverage; earlier or weaker rain allows brief clear periods that push readings higher, while heavier or earlier precipitation keeps values nearer 30–31 °C. These short-range forecasts carry typical uncertainty ranges of 1–2 °C tied to mesoscale convective development, with official PAGASA updates and next model cycles expected to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$729วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs for September 16 in Manila indicate afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover from the southwest monsoon will likely cap daytime heating, producing maximum temperatures in the low 30s Celsius amid high humidity and light winds. Trader emphasis on 32–33 °C outcomes reflects model spread in thunderstorm timing and coverage; earlier or weaker rain allows brief clear periods that push readings higher, while heavier or earlier precipitation keeps values nearer 30–31 °C. These short-range forecasts carry typical uncertainty ranges of 1–2 °C tied to mesoscale convective development, with official PAGASA updates and next model cycles expected to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$729วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs for September 16 in Manila indicate afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover from the southwest monsoon will likely cap daytime heating, producing maximum temperatures in the low 30s Celsius amid high humidity and light winds. Trader emphasis on 32–33 °C outcomes reflects model spread in thunderstorm timing and coverage; earlier or weaker rain allows brief clear periods that push readings higher, while heavier or earlier precipitation keeps values nearer 30–31 °C. These short-range forecasts carry typical uncertainty ranges of 1–2 °C tied to mesoscale convective development, with official PAGASA updates and next model cycles expected to refine the range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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