Recent GFS and ensemble model runs position a maximum of 17°C as the most probable outcome for Moscow on September 16, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow limiting daytime warming. This aligns with climatological norms near 16°C for mid-September while reflecting stable short-range guidance that has shown little shift over the past 24 hours. Traders assign 38.5% implied probability to 18°C, acknowledging residual uncertainty from boundary-layer mixing or minor model spread in peak insolation. Official resolution will hinge on the precise highest reading at the primary Moscow observing station, with final verification expected shortly after sunset on the 16th.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on September 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 16?
17°C 55%
18°C 39%
16°C 4%
19°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
55%
18°C
39%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 55%
18°C 39%
16°C 4%
19°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
12°C or below
$421 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$374 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$358 ปริมาณ
1%
15°C
$335 ปริมาณ
2%
16°C
$766 ปริมาณ
4%
17°C
$808 ปริมาณ
55%
18°C
$505 ปริมาณ
39%
19°C
$295 ปริมาณ
3%
20°C
$365 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C
$425 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C or higher
$657 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ensemble model runs position a maximum of 17°C as the most probable outcome for Moscow on September 16, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow limiting daytime warming. This aligns with climatological norms near 16°C for mid-September while reflecting stable short-range guidance that has shown little shift over the past 24 hours. Traders assign 38.5% implied probability to 18°C, acknowledging residual uncertainty from boundary-layer mixing or minor model spread in peak insolation. Official resolution will hinge on the precise highest reading at the primary Moscow observing station, with final verification expected shortly after sunset on the 16th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,309วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ensemble model runs position a maximum of 17°C as the most probable outcome for Moscow on September 16, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow limiting daytime warming. This aligns with climatological norms near 16°C for mid-September while reflecting stable short-range guidance that has shown little shift over the past 24 hours. Traders assign 38.5% implied probability to 18°C, acknowledging residual uncertainty from boundary-layer mixing or minor model spread in peak insolation. Official resolution will hinge on the precise highest reading at the primary Moscow observing station, with final verification expected shortly after sunset on the 16th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,309วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent GFS and ensemble model runs position a maximum of 17°C as the most probable outcome for Moscow on September 16, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow limiting daytime warming. This aligns with climatological norms near 16°C for mid-September while reflecting stable short-range guidance that has shown little shift over the past 24 hours. Traders assign 38.5% implied probability to 18°C, acknowledging residual uncertainty from boundary-layer mixing or minor model spread in peak insolation. Official resolution will hinge on the precise highest reading at the primary Moscow observing station, with final verification expected shortly after sunset on the 16th.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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