Recent GFS and regional model runs indicate Moscow's September 17 high will likely reach 20–21°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow, producing the strongest trader consensus on those exact outcomes. Southerly advection of warmer air ahead of a modest pressure gradient, combined with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation odds, supports daytime maxima several degrees above the mid-September climatological average of roughly 16–17°C. Ensemble spread remains narrow, with limited model disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and insolation, though minor revisions in wind speed or timing of any late-day increase in cloudiness could shift the peak by 1°C. Updated short-range forecasts and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on September 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 17?
22°C 40%
21°C 31%
20°C 25%
19°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
7%
19°C
12%
20°C
25%
21°C
31%
22°C
26%
23°C
7%
24°C
5%
25°C or higher
5%
22°C 40%
21°C 31%
20°C 25%
19°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
15°C or below
$117 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$66 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
31%
22°C
$3 ปริมาณ
26%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
25°C or higher
$116 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and regional model runs indicate Moscow's September 17 high will likely reach 20–21°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow, producing the strongest trader consensus on those exact outcomes. Southerly advection of warmer air ahead of a modest pressure gradient, combined with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation odds, supports daytime maxima several degrees above the mid-September climatological average of roughly 16–17°C. Ensemble spread remains narrow, with limited model disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and insolation, though minor revisions in wind speed or timing of any late-day increase in cloudiness could shift the peak by 1°C. Updated short-range forecasts and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$302วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and regional model runs indicate Moscow's September 17 high will likely reach 20–21°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow, producing the strongest trader consensus on those exact outcomes. Southerly advection of warmer air ahead of a modest pressure gradient, combined with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation odds, supports daytime maxima several degrees above the mid-September climatological average of roughly 16–17°C. Ensemble spread remains narrow, with limited model disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and insolation, though minor revisions in wind speed or timing of any late-day increase in cloudiness could shift the peak by 1°C. Updated short-range forecasts and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$302วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent GFS and regional model runs indicate Moscow's September 17 high will likely reach 20–21°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow, producing the strongest trader consensus on those exact outcomes. Southerly advection of warmer air ahead of a modest pressure gradient, combined with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation odds, supports daytime maxima several degrees above the mid-September climatological average of roughly 16–17°C. Ensemble spread remains narrow, with limited model disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and insolation, though minor revisions in wind speed or timing of any late-day increase in cloudiness could shift the peak by 1°C. Updated short-range forecasts and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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