Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a high near 74–78°F in Chicago on September 17 under mostly cloudy skies with a 40–60% chance of showers, limiting daytime heating and producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 74–79°F bins. A strengthening onshore flow from the northeast and increasing mid-level moisture ahead of a weak trough are the main drivers keeping temperatures below recent late-summer peaks, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed shower development could push readings into the upper 70s. Historical climatology for mid-September shows typical highs near 75°F, but the current pattern’s elevated dew points and reduced insolation introduce modest downside risk that traders appear to be weighting evenly across the leading outcomes. Updated NWS short-range guidance and high-resolution model runs expected later today will be the next key inputs for refining the temperature distribution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on September 17?
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 17?
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 39%
80-81°F 25%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
69°F or below
11%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
15%
88°F or higher
15%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 39%
80-81°F 25%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
69°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
82-83°F
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
84-85°F
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
86-87°F
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
88°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a high near 74–78°F in Chicago on September 17 under mostly cloudy skies with a 40–60% chance of showers, limiting daytime heating and producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 74–79°F bins. A strengthening onshore flow from the northeast and increasing mid-level moisture ahead of a weak trough are the main drivers keeping temperatures below recent late-summer peaks, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed shower development could push readings into the upper 70s. Historical climatology for mid-September shows typical highs near 75°F, but the current pattern’s elevated dew points and reduced insolation introduce modest downside risk that traders appear to be weighting evenly across the leading outcomes. Updated NWS short-range guidance and high-resolution model runs expected later today will be the next key inputs for refining the temperature distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a high near 74–78°F in Chicago on September 17 under mostly cloudy skies with a 40–60% chance of showers, limiting daytime heating and producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 74–79°F bins. A strengthening onshore flow from the northeast and increasing mid-level moisture ahead of a weak trough are the main drivers keeping temperatures below recent late-summer peaks, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed shower development could push readings into the upper 70s. Historical climatology for mid-September shows typical highs near 75°F, but the current pattern’s elevated dew points and reduced insolation introduce modest downside risk that traders appear to be weighting evenly across the leading outcomes. Updated NWS short-range guidance and high-resolution model runs expected later today will be the next key inputs for refining the temperature distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a high near 74–78°F in Chicago on September 17 under mostly cloudy skies with a 40–60% chance of showers, limiting daytime heating and producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 74–79°F bins. A strengthening onshore flow from the northeast and increasing mid-level moisture ahead of a weak trough are the main drivers keeping temperatures below recent late-summer peaks, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed shower development could push readings into the upper 70s. Historical climatology for mid-September shows typical highs near 75°F, but the current pattern’s elevated dew points and reduced insolation introduce modest downside risk that traders appear to be weighting evenly across the leading outcomes. Updated NWS short-range guidance and high-resolution model runs expected later today will be the next key inputs for refining the temperature distribution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย