Recent forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models points to a transition toward cloudy conditions with frequent scattered showers and thunderstorms on September 15, limiting solar insolation and daytime heating after a hotter Monday. This frontal influence, combined with elevated humidity near 80-90% and moderate southerly winds, supports maximum temperatures clustered around 25-28°C. Model differences in the timing and coverage of precipitation explain the tight market spread: earlier or heavier rain would suppress the high nearer 25°C, while any afternoon breaks in cloud cover could allow brief warming toward 28°C. Historical September baselines near 27°C provide context, though the active pattern introduces typical forecast uncertainty in exact peak readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 15?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 15?
27°C 28%
28°C 19%
26°C 16%
25°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
11%
26°C
16%
27°C
28%
28°C
19%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
10%
27°C 28%
28°C 19%
26°C 16%
25°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
21°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
4%
22°C
$10 ปริมาณ
4%
23°C
$25 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$6 ปริมาณ
5%
25°C
$16 ปริมาณ
11%
26°C
$892 ปริมาณ
16%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
28°C
$55 ปริมาณ
19%
29°C
$22 ปริมาณ
9%
30°C
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models points to a transition toward cloudy conditions with frequent scattered showers and thunderstorms on September 15, limiting solar insolation and daytime heating after a hotter Monday. This frontal influence, combined with elevated humidity near 80-90% and moderate southerly winds, supports maximum temperatures clustered around 25-28°C. Model differences in the timing and coverage of precipitation explain the tight market spread: earlier or heavier rain would suppress the high nearer 25°C, while any afternoon breaks in cloud cover could allow brief warming toward 28°C. Historical September baselines near 27°C provide context, though the active pattern introduces typical forecast uncertainty in exact peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,056วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models points to a transition toward cloudy conditions with frequent scattered showers and thunderstorms on September 15, limiting solar insolation and daytime heating after a hotter Monday. This frontal influence, combined with elevated humidity near 80-90% and moderate southerly winds, supports maximum temperatures clustered around 25-28°C. Model differences in the timing and coverage of precipitation explain the tight market spread: earlier or heavier rain would suppress the high nearer 25°C, while any afternoon breaks in cloud cover could allow brief warming toward 28°C. Historical September baselines near 27°C provide context, though the active pattern introduces typical forecast uncertainty in exact peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,056วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models points to a transition toward cloudy conditions with frequent scattered showers and thunderstorms on September 15, limiting solar insolation and daytime heating after a hotter Monday. This frontal influence, combined with elevated humidity near 80-90% and moderate southerly winds, supports maximum temperatures clustered around 25-28°C. Model differences in the timing and coverage of precipitation explain the tight market spread: earlier or heavier rain would suppress the high nearer 25°C, while any afternoon breaks in cloud cover could allow brief warming toward 28°C. Historical September baselines near 27°C provide context, though the active pattern introduces typical forecast uncertainty in exact peak readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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