Recent forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate stable northeasterly flow over Busan on September 15, with overnight lows expected near 21–22°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This consensus supports mid-range outcomes around 19–22°C, yet the market assigns equal 38.5% implied probability to the 15°C-or-below and 25°C-or-higher extremes. Scientific differentiation stems from potential steering pattern shifts or localized radiative cooling under clearer skies versus residual warmth from daytime heating and marine influence, with ensemble spreads highlighting modest uncertainty in minimum temperature resolution criteria. No major recent developments have altered baseline climatology for mid-September in the region.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Busan on September 15?
15°C or below 77%
25°C or higher 77%
16°C 39%
24°C 39%
15°C or below
77%
16°C
39%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
23%
20°C
22%
21°C
22%
22°C
21%
23°C
20%
24°C
39%
25°C or higher
77%
15°C or below 77%
25°C or higher 77%
16°C 39%
24°C 39%
15°C or below
77%
16°C
39%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
23%
20°C
22%
21°C
22%
22°C
21%
23°C
20%
24°C
39%
25°C or higher
77%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate stable northeasterly flow over Busan on September 15, with overnight lows expected near 21–22°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This consensus supports mid-range outcomes around 19–22°C, yet the market assigns equal 38.5% implied probability to the 15°C-or-below and 25°C-or-higher extremes. Scientific differentiation stems from potential steering pattern shifts or localized radiative cooling under clearer skies versus residual warmth from daytime heating and marine influence, with ensemble spreads highlighting modest uncertainty in minimum temperature resolution criteria. No major recent developments have altered baseline climatology for mid-September in the region.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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