Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to partly cloudy conditions and moderate northeasterly winds over Busan on September 14, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 29–30°C with limited afternoon heating from humidity around 50% and light precipitation chances. These factors differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes, as subtle shifts in cloud timing or wind direction could tip the high between 30°C and 31°C versus slightly cooler values if onshore flow strengthens. Trader consensus, reflected in the 37.5% implied probability for 31°C, aligns with current guidance showing modest warming potential relative to September climatology, though fresh model updates from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration could refine the range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Busan on September 14?
Highest temperature in Busan on September 14?
31°C 38%
30°C 29%
32°C 20%
29°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
11%
30°C
29%
31°C
38%
32°C
20%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
31°C 38%
30°C 29%
32°C 20%
29°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
27°C
$13 ปริมาณ
3%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
31°C
$47 ปริมาณ
38%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C
$33 ปริมาณ
2%
36°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to partly cloudy conditions and moderate northeasterly winds over Busan on September 14, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 29–30°C with limited afternoon heating from humidity around 50% and light precipitation chances. These factors differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes, as subtle shifts in cloud timing or wind direction could tip the high between 30°C and 31°C versus slightly cooler values if onshore flow strengthens. Trader consensus, reflected in the 37.5% implied probability for 31°C, aligns with current guidance showing modest warming potential relative to September climatology, though fresh model updates from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration could refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$93วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to partly cloudy conditions and moderate northeasterly winds over Busan on September 14, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 29–30°C with limited afternoon heating from humidity around 50% and light precipitation chances. These factors differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes, as subtle shifts in cloud timing or wind direction could tip the high between 30°C and 31°C versus slightly cooler values if onshore flow strengthens. Trader consensus, reflected in the 37.5% implied probability for 31°C, aligns with current guidance showing modest warming potential relative to September climatology, though fresh model updates from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration could refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$93วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to partly cloudy conditions and moderate northeasterly winds over Busan on September 14, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 29–30°C with limited afternoon heating from humidity around 50% and light precipitation chances. These factors differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes, as subtle shifts in cloud timing or wind direction could tip the high between 30°C and 31°C versus slightly cooler values if onshore flow strengthens. Trader consensus, reflected in the 37.5% implied probability for 31°C, aligns with current guidance showing modest warming potential relative to September climatology, though fresh model updates from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration could refine the range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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