**Forecast models from sources including Worldmeteo, PredictWind, and local Chinese meteorological outlets converge on a September 12 high near 31–32°C for Shenzhen, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (32°C at 35.5%, 33°C at 23.5%, 31°C at 20.5%).** In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, September highs typically average around 31°C under the influence of residual summer warmth, urban heat island effects, and generally light northeasterly flow. Current guidance shows mostly stable conditions with possible afternoon convective showers or thunderstorms—common in the region—that often develop after peak heating and therefore have limited impact on the daily maximum. No major typhoon or strong cold surge is indicated in the latest runs, keeping temperatures in the narrow 30–34°C band favored by traders. Ensemble consistency across models supports the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 31–33°C, while lower-probability tails (below 30°C or 35°C+) reflect residual uncertainty in timing of any showers or minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 12?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 12?
32°C 46%
33°C 25%
31°C 16%
34°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
16%
32°C
46%
33°C
25%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 46%
33°C 25%
31°C 16%
34°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
27°C or below
$1,111 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$349 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$446 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$228 ปริมาณ
7%
31°C
$3,317 ปริมาณ
16%
32°C
$1,111 ปริมาณ
46%
33°C
$701 ปริมาณ
25%
34°C
$597 ปริมาณ
8%
35°C
$195 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C
$76 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C or higher
$81 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including Worldmeteo, PredictWind, and local Chinese meteorological outlets converge on a September 12 high near 31–32°C for Shenzhen, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (32°C at 35.5%, 33°C at 23.5%, 31°C at 20.5%).**
In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, September highs typically average around 31°C under the influence of residual summer warmth, urban heat island effects, and generally light northeasterly flow. Current guidance shows mostly stable conditions with possible afternoon convective showers or thunderstorms—common in the region—that often develop after peak heating and therefore have limited impact on the daily maximum.
No major typhoon or strong cold surge is indicated in the latest runs, keeping temperatures in the narrow 30–34°C band favored by traders. Ensemble consistency across models supports the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 31–33°C, while lower-probability tails (below 30°C or 35°C+) reflect residual uncertainty in timing of any showers or minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,212วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including Worldmeteo, PredictWind, and local Chinese meteorological outlets converge on a September 12 high near 31–32°C for Shenzhen, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (32°C at 35.5%, 33°C at 23.5%, 31°C at 20.5%).**
In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, September highs typically average around 31°C under the influence of residual summer warmth, urban heat island effects, and generally light northeasterly flow. Current guidance shows mostly stable conditions with possible afternoon convective showers or thunderstorms—common in the region—that often develop after peak heating and therefore have limited impact on the daily maximum.
No major typhoon or strong cold surge is indicated in the latest runs, keeping temperatures in the narrow 30–34°C band favored by traders. Ensemble consistency across models supports the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 31–33°C, while lower-probability tails (below 30°C or 35°C+) reflect residual uncertainty in timing of any showers or minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,212วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including Worldmeteo, PredictWind, and local Chinese meteorological outlets converge on a September 12 high near 31–32°C for Shenzhen, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (32°C at 35.5%, 33°C at 23.5%, 31°C at 20.5%).** In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, September highs typically average around 31°C under the influence of residual summer warmth, urban heat island effects, and generally light northeasterly flow. Current guidance shows mostly stable conditions with possible afternoon convective showers or thunderstorms—common in the region—that often develop after peak heating and therefore have limited impact on the daily maximum. No major typhoon or strong cold surge is indicated in the latest runs, keeping temperatures in the narrow 30–34°C band favored by traders. Ensemble consistency across models supports the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 31–33°C, while lower-probability tails (below 30°C or 35°C+) reflect residual uncertainty in timing of any showers or minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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