Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and model guidance indicate persistent cloud cover and widespread showers or thunderstorms overnight into September 13, 2026, which limit radiational cooling and support a minimum temperature in the low 70s°F across New York City. High dew points and southerly flow associated with an approaching warm front maintain elevated boundary-layer moisture, reducing the diurnal temperature range compared with typical mid-September climatology near 63°F. This setup explains the market concentration on 72-73°F and 70-71°F outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between forecast model consensus and any last-minute shifts in precipitation timing or intensity that could allow slightly greater cooling. Updated National Weather Service briefings and morning observations on September 13 will provide the final resolution data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on September 13?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 13?
72-73°F 41%
70-71°F 32%
68-69°F 28%
63°F or below 24%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
63°F or below
24%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
32%
72-73°F
41%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
2%
72-73°F 41%
70-71°F 32%
68-69°F 28%
63°F or below 24%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
63°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
64-65°F
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
66-67°F
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
68-69°F
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
72-73°F
$138 ปริมาณ
41%
74-75°F
$167 ปริมาณ
9%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
82°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and model guidance indicate persistent cloud cover and widespread showers or thunderstorms overnight into September 13, 2026, which limit radiational cooling and support a minimum temperature in the low 70s°F across New York City. High dew points and southerly flow associated with an approaching warm front maintain elevated boundary-layer moisture, reducing the diurnal temperature range compared with typical mid-September climatology near 63°F. This setup explains the market concentration on 72-73°F and 70-71°F outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between forecast model consensus and any last-minute shifts in precipitation timing or intensity that could allow slightly greater cooling. Updated National Weather Service briefings and morning observations on September 13 will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$304วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and model guidance indicate persistent cloud cover and widespread showers or thunderstorms overnight into September 13, 2026, which limit radiational cooling and support a minimum temperature in the low 70s°F across New York City. High dew points and southerly flow associated with an approaching warm front maintain elevated boundary-layer moisture, reducing the diurnal temperature range compared with typical mid-September climatology near 63°F. This setup explains the market concentration on 72-73°F and 70-71°F outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between forecast model consensus and any last-minute shifts in precipitation timing or intensity that could allow slightly greater cooling. Updated National Weather Service briefings and morning observations on September 13 will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$304วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and model guidance indicate persistent cloud cover and widespread showers or thunderstorms overnight into September 13, 2026, which limit radiational cooling and support a minimum temperature in the low 70s°F across New York City. High dew points and southerly flow associated with an approaching warm front maintain elevated boundary-layer moisture, reducing the diurnal temperature range compared with typical mid-September climatology near 63°F. This setup explains the market concentration on 72-73°F and 70-71°F outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between forecast model consensus and any last-minute shifts in precipitation timing or intensity that could allow slightly greater cooling. Updated National Weather Service briefings and morning observations on September 13 will provide the final resolution data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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