The near-certainty around a 32°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 11 reflects official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that peak reading under partly cloudy conditions and northeast monsoon flow. This outcome aligns with September climatology, where average highs hover near 31°C amid warm sea-surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea, though slightly moderated from August's elevated means. Traders priced in the result once preliminary station data and model consensus converged on no exceedance of 33°C or drop below 32°C, with minimal uncertainty from cloud cover or wind variability. Resolution now hinges solely on final verified records rather than forecasts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
32°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$111,232 ปริมาณ
$111,232 ปริมาณ
Sep 11, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$111,232 ปริมาณ
$111,232 ปริมาณ
Sep 11, 2026
26°C or below
$265 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$228 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$19,467 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$11,251 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$12,789 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$20,940 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$16,005 ปริมาณ
100%
33°C
$26,126 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$3,661 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$274 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C or higher
$230 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The near-certainty around a 32°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 11 reflects official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that peak reading under partly cloudy conditions and northeast monsoon flow. This outcome aligns with September climatology, where average highs hover near 31°C amid warm sea-surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea, though slightly moderated from August's elevated means. Traders priced in the result once preliminary station data and model consensus converged on no exceedance of 33°C or drop below 32°C, with minimal uncertainty from cloud cover or wind variability. Resolution now hinges solely on final verified records rather than forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$111,232วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The near-certainty around a 32°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 11 reflects official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that peak reading under partly cloudy conditions and northeast monsoon flow. This outcome aligns with September climatology, where average highs hover near 31°C amid warm sea-surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea, though slightly moderated from August's elevated means. Traders priced in the result once preliminary station data and model consensus converged on no exceedance of 33°C or drop below 32°C, with minimal uncertainty from cloud cover or wind variability. Resolution now hinges solely on final verified records rather than forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$111,232วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The near-certainty around a 32°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 11 reflects official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that peak reading under partly cloudy conditions and northeast monsoon flow. This outcome aligns with September climatology, where average highs hover near 31°C amid warm sea-surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea, though slightly moderated from August's elevated means. Traders priced in the result once preliminary station data and model consensus converged on no exceedance of 33°C or drop below 32°C, with minimal uncertainty from cloud cover or wind variability. Resolution now hinges solely on final verified records rather than forecasts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย