Forecast models from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles converge on a daily maximum near 31°C for September 13, driven by easterly flow, high humidity near 70-85%, and partial cloud cover that caps solar heating while aligning with the month’s climatological average high of roughly 30°C. Afternoon observations hovering around 30-31°C, combined with light winds and scattered showers, reinforce this outcome and explain the market’s overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for 31°C. A clear-sky anomaly or delayed rain could allow brief spikes toward 32°C, whereas heavier convective activity might hold the peak at or below 30°C, though current guidance shows low likelihood of either deviation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
28°C <1%
$102,934 ปริมาณ
$102,934 ปริมาณ
Sep 13, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
28°C <1%
$102,934 ปริมาณ
$102,934 ปริมาณ
Sep 13, 2026
25°C or below
$678 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$1,505 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$6,108 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$17,369 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$11,609 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$11,780 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$18,134 ปริมาณ
100%
32°C
$24,037 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$9,045 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$2,516 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C or higher
$153 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles converge on a daily maximum near 31°C for September 13, driven by easterly flow, high humidity near 70-85%, and partial cloud cover that caps solar heating while aligning with the month’s climatological average high of roughly 30°C. Afternoon observations hovering around 30-31°C, combined with light winds and scattered showers, reinforce this outcome and explain the market’s overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for 31°C. A clear-sky anomaly or delayed rain could allow brief spikes toward 32°C, whereas heavier convective activity might hold the peak at or below 30°C, though current guidance shows low likelihood of either deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$102,934วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles converge on a daily maximum near 31°C for September 13, driven by easterly flow, high humidity near 70-85%, and partial cloud cover that caps solar heating while aligning with the month’s climatological average high of roughly 30°C. Afternoon observations hovering around 30-31°C, combined with light winds and scattered showers, reinforce this outcome and explain the market’s overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for 31°C. A clear-sky anomaly or delayed rain could allow brief spikes toward 32°C, whereas heavier convective activity might hold the peak at or below 30°C, though current guidance shows low likelihood of either deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$102,934วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles converge on a daily maximum near 31°C for September 13, driven by easterly flow, high humidity near 70-85%, and partial cloud cover that caps solar heating while aligning with the month’s climatological average high of roughly 30°C. Afternoon observations hovering around 30-31°C, combined with light winds and scattered showers, reinforce this outcome and explain the market’s overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for 31°C. A clear-sky anomaly or delayed rain could allow brief spikes toward 32°C, whereas heavier convective activity might hold the peak at or below 30°C, though current guidance shows low likelihood of either deviation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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