Recent National Weather Service and Environment Canada model runs show high uncertainty in Toronto's overnight low for September 14, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely minimum between 8–13 °C. Current surface observations indicate a moderating high-pressure ridge and light winds that favor radiational cooling, yet variable cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary approaching from the northwest could limit the drop. Historical mid-September climatology for the city centers near 12 °C, but short-range guidance diverges on whether clear skies will allow sub-7 °C readings or whether mixing keeps values near or above 12 °C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow gap between these scenarios, with upcoming 00Z and 12Z model updates likely to narrow the range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Toronto on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on September 14?
6°C or below 95%
16°C or higher 73%
12°C 46%
11°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
6°C or below
95%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
40%
12°C
46%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C or higher
73%
6°C or below 95%
16°C or higher 73%
12°C 46%
11°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
6°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
95%
7°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
12°C
$12 ปริมาณ
46%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
16°C or higher
$34 ปริมาณ
73%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and Environment Canada model runs show high uncertainty in Toronto's overnight low for September 14, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely minimum between 8–13 °C. Current surface observations indicate a moderating high-pressure ridge and light winds that favor radiational cooling, yet variable cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary approaching from the northwest could limit the drop. Historical mid-September climatology for the city centers near 12 °C, but short-range guidance diverges on whether clear skies will allow sub-7 °C readings or whether mixing keeps values near or above 12 °C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow gap between these scenarios, with upcoming 00Z and 12Z model updates likely to narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and Environment Canada model runs show high uncertainty in Toronto's overnight low for September 14, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely minimum between 8–13 °C. Current surface observations indicate a moderating high-pressure ridge and light winds that favor radiational cooling, yet variable cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary approaching from the northwest could limit the drop. Historical mid-September climatology for the city centers near 12 °C, but short-range guidance diverges on whether clear skies will allow sub-7 °C readings or whether mixing keeps values near or above 12 °C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow gap between these scenarios, with upcoming 00Z and 12Z model updates likely to narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and Environment Canada model runs show high uncertainty in Toronto's overnight low for September 14, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely minimum between 8–13 °C. Current surface observations indicate a moderating high-pressure ridge and light winds that favor radiational cooling, yet variable cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary approaching from the northwest could limit the drop. Historical mid-September climatology for the city centers near 12 °C, but short-range guidance diverges on whether clear skies will allow sub-7 °C readings or whether mixing keeps values near or above 12 °C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow gap between these scenarios, with upcoming 00Z and 12Z model updates likely to narrow the range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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