Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate an overnight low near 68°F for Los Angeles on September 14, 2026, driven by persistent marine layer influence that moderates nighttime temperatures along the coast. This places the 68-69°F bin as the market leader at 60.5% implied probability, consistent with current guidance showing patchy fog, light winds, and no significant frontal systems or heat advection expected. Historical climatology for the date averages around 64°F, but recent September conditions have featured slightly elevated minima due to above-average sea surface temperatures and stable high pressure. Traders appear to weigh the tight model consensus and low uncertainty in the 24-48 hour window, with secondary probability concentrated in adjacent bins reflecting minor forecast spread.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 14?
68-69°F 56%
78°F or higher 37%
62-63°F 29%
72-73°F 29%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
59°F or below
11%
60-61°F
13%
62-63°F
29%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
56%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
13%
78°F or higher
37%
68-69°F 56%
78°F or higher 37%
62-63°F 29%
72-73°F 29%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
59°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
60-61°F
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
62-63°F
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
64-65°F
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
66-67°F
$49 ปริมาณ
9%
68-69°F
$117 ปริมาณ
56%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
78°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate an overnight low near 68°F for Los Angeles on September 14, 2026, driven by persistent marine layer influence that moderates nighttime temperatures along the coast. This places the 68-69°F bin as the market leader at 60.5% implied probability, consistent with current guidance showing patchy fog, light winds, and no significant frontal systems or heat advection expected. Historical climatology for the date averages around 64°F, but recent September conditions have featured slightly elevated minima due to above-average sea surface temperatures and stable high pressure. Traders appear to weigh the tight model consensus and low uncertainty in the 24-48 hour window, with secondary probability concentrated in adjacent bins reflecting minor forecast spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$166วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate an overnight low near 68°F for Los Angeles on September 14, 2026, driven by persistent marine layer influence that moderates nighttime temperatures along the coast. This places the 68-69°F bin as the market leader at 60.5% implied probability, consistent with current guidance showing patchy fog, light winds, and no significant frontal systems or heat advection expected. Historical climatology for the date averages around 64°F, but recent September conditions have featured slightly elevated minima due to above-average sea surface temperatures and stable high pressure. Traders appear to weigh the tight model consensus and low uncertainty in the 24-48 hour window, with secondary probability concentrated in adjacent bins reflecting minor forecast spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$166วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate an overnight low near 68°F for Los Angeles on September 14, 2026, driven by persistent marine layer influence that moderates nighttime temperatures along the coast. This places the 68-69°F bin as the market leader at 60.5% implied probability, consistent with current guidance showing patchy fog, light winds, and no significant frontal systems or heat advection expected. Historical climatology for the date averages around 64°F, but recent September conditions have featured slightly elevated minima due to above-average sea surface temperatures and stable high pressure. Traders appear to weigh the tight model consensus and low uncertainty in the 24-48 hour window, with secondary probability concentrated in adjacent bins reflecting minor forecast spread.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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