Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high-pressure ridge supporting mostly cloudy to partly clear skies over Paris on September 13, with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This setup favors daytime radiative heating, producing peak temperatures centered on 26–27 °C—above the late-summer climatological average of roughly 21 °C. Latest model runs show afternoon maxima reaching 26–28 °C depending on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, aligning with the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on 25–27 °C. Traders appear to weight the tight cluster of deterministic and ensemble guidance while discounting lower-probability outliers below 24 °C or above 28 °C. Updated model cycles and any rapid changes in low-level moisture or insolation will remain the key near-term variables.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on September 13?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 13?
26°C 40%
25°C 26%
27°C 19%
24°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
26%
26°C
40%
27°C
19%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 40%
25°C 26%
27°C 19%
24°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
22°C or below
$430 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$112 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$1,294 ปริมาณ
9%
25°C
$1,310 ปริมาณ
26%
26°C
$1,190 ปริมาณ
40%
27°C
$1,324 ปริมาณ
19%
28°C
$1,202 ปริมาณ
4%
29°C
$270 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$140 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$422 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$406 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high-pressure ridge supporting mostly cloudy to partly clear skies over Paris on September 13, with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This setup favors daytime radiative heating, producing peak temperatures centered on 26–27 °C—above the late-summer climatological average of roughly 21 °C. Latest model runs show afternoon maxima reaching 26–28 °C depending on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, aligning with the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on 25–27 °C. Traders appear to weight the tight cluster of deterministic and ensemble guidance while discounting lower-probability outliers below 24 °C or above 28 °C. Updated model cycles and any rapid changes in low-level moisture or insolation will remain the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,095วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high-pressure ridge supporting mostly cloudy to partly clear skies over Paris on September 13, with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This setup favors daytime radiative heating, producing peak temperatures centered on 26–27 °C—above the late-summer climatological average of roughly 21 °C. Latest model runs show afternoon maxima reaching 26–28 °C depending on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, aligning with the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on 25–27 °C. Traders appear to weight the tight cluster of deterministic and ensemble guidance while discounting lower-probability outliers below 24 °C or above 28 °C. Updated model cycles and any rapid changes in low-level moisture or insolation will remain the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,095วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high-pressure ridge supporting mostly cloudy to partly clear skies over Paris on September 13, with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This setup favors daytime radiative heating, producing peak temperatures centered on 26–27 °C—above the late-summer climatological average of roughly 21 °C. Latest model runs show afternoon maxima reaching 26–28 °C depending on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, aligning with the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on 25–27 °C. Traders appear to weight the tight cluster of deterministic and ensemble guidance while discounting lower-probability outliers below 24 °C or above 28 °C. Updated model cycles and any rapid changes in low-level moisture or insolation will remain the key near-term variables.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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