**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms are the dominant factors capping Manila's peak temperatures near 31–33°C on September 14.** PAGASA outlooks and multiple model runs (GFS, ECMWF) indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with isolated to scattered rains under the southwest monsoon (Habagat), which limits daytime heating and keeps maximums close to seasonal norms of 30–32°C. Recent forecasts consistently show highs around 29–32°C (85–90°F) with high humidity and moderate winds, reducing the chance of strong surface heating needed for 34°C+. Trader consensus reflected in the market—32°C leading at 36.5% followed by 33°C at 26.5%—aligns with this model agreement and the low likelihood of clear, calm conditions that would push readings higher. Updated PAGASA briefings and next GFS/ECMWF runs will provide the key data shifts before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on September 14?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 14?
32°C 36%
33°C 27%
31°C 18%
34°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
18%
32°C
36%
33°C
27%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
32°C 36%
33°C 27%
31°C 18%
34°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
$297 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$197 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$34 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$15 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$190 ปริมาณ
6%
31°C
$178 ปริมาณ
18%
32°C
$394 ปริมาณ
36%
33°C
$151 ปริมาณ
27%
34°C
$10 ปริมาณ
8%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
36°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms are the dominant factors capping Manila's peak temperatures near 31–33°C on September 14.** PAGASA outlooks and multiple model runs (GFS, ECMWF) indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with isolated to scattered rains under the southwest monsoon (Habagat), which limits daytime heating and keeps maximums close to seasonal norms of 30–32°C. Recent forecasts consistently show highs around 29–32°C (85–90°F) with high humidity and moderate winds, reducing the chance of strong surface heating needed for 34°C+. Trader consensus reflected in the market—32°C leading at 36.5% followed by 33°C at 26.5%—aligns with this model agreement and the low likelihood of clear, calm conditions that would push readings higher. Updated PAGASA briefings and next GFS/ECMWF runs will provide the key data shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,466วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms are the dominant factors capping Manila's peak temperatures near 31–33°C on September 14.** PAGASA outlooks and multiple model runs (GFS, ECMWF) indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with isolated to scattered rains under the southwest monsoon (Habagat), which limits daytime heating and keeps maximums close to seasonal norms of 30–32°C. Recent forecasts consistently show highs around 29–32°C (85–90°F) with high humidity and moderate winds, reducing the chance of strong surface heating needed for 34°C+. Trader consensus reflected in the market—32°C leading at 36.5% followed by 33°C at 26.5%—aligns with this model agreement and the low likelihood of clear, calm conditions that would push readings higher. Updated PAGASA briefings and next GFS/ECMWF runs will provide the key data shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,466วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms are the dominant factors capping Manila's peak temperatures near 31–33°C on September 14.** PAGASA outlooks and multiple model runs (GFS, ECMWF) indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with isolated to scattered rains under the southwest monsoon (Habagat), which limits daytime heating and keeps maximums close to seasonal norms of 30–32°C. Recent forecasts consistently show highs around 29–32°C (85–90°F) with high humidity and moderate winds, reducing the chance of strong surface heating needed for 34°C+. Trader consensus reflected in the market—32°C leading at 36.5% followed by 33°C at 26.5%—aligns with this model agreement and the low likelihood of clear, calm conditions that would push readings higher. Updated PAGASA briefings and next GFS/ECMWF runs will provide the key data shifts before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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