Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate the southwest monsoon will sustain cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms over Manila on September 13, limiting daytime heating and capping the daily maximum near 29–31°C. High humidity and frequent cloud cover reduce solar insolation, while afternoon convection further moderates peaks, consistent with climatological averages of 26–31°C for mid-September. Trader emphasis on 30–32°C outcomes reflects this consensus alongside minor model spread in rainfall timing and intensity, which can shift the exact high by 1–2°C. Updated PAGASA guidance and refined numerical runs expected within 48 hours will clarify whether localized clearing allows a brief spike toward 33°C or persistent moisture keeps readings lower.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on September 13?
32°C 26%
31°C 25%
34°C or higher 19%
30°C 16%
24°C or below
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
6%
30°C
16%
31°C
25%
32°C
26%
33°C
13%
34°C or higher
19%
32°C 26%
31°C 25%
34°C or higher 19%
30°C 16%
24°C or below
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
6%
30°C
16%
31°C
25%
32°C
26%
33°C
13%
34°C or higher
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate the southwest monsoon will sustain cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms over Manila on September 13, limiting daytime heating and capping the daily maximum near 29–31°C. High humidity and frequent cloud cover reduce solar insolation, while afternoon convection further moderates peaks, consistent with climatological averages of 26–31°C for mid-September. Trader emphasis on 30–32°C outcomes reflects this consensus alongside minor model spread in rainfall timing and intensity, which can shift the exact high by 1–2°C. Updated PAGASA guidance and refined numerical runs expected within 48 hours will clarify whether localized clearing allows a brief spike toward 33°C or persistent moisture keeps readings lower.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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