Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's overnight low on September 13 will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius amid southwest monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, limiting radiative cooling. Persistent humidity above 80% and light winds further moderate extremes, aligning with September climatology where nighttime minima typically range 24–26°C. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty in exact resolution thresholds, with traders weighing potential model shifts in rain timing or brief clearer intervals that could allow slightly lower readings versus sustained overcast conditions. Updated PAGASA outlooks and next model runs will clarify whether the minimum edges toward 24°C or holds higher.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Manila on September 13?
19°C or below 71%
29°C or higher 71%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
19°C or below
71%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
29%
25°C
29%
26°C
25%
27°C
23%
28°C
39%
29°C or higher
71%
19°C or below 71%
29°C or higher 71%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
19°C or below
71%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
29%
25°C
29%
26°C
25%
27°C
23%
28°C
39%
29°C or higher
71%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's overnight low on September 13 will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius amid southwest monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, limiting radiative cooling. Persistent humidity above 80% and light winds further moderate extremes, aligning with September climatology where nighttime minima typically range 24–26°C. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty in exact resolution thresholds, with traders weighing potential model shifts in rain timing or brief clearer intervals that could allow slightly lower readings versus sustained overcast conditions. Updated PAGASA outlooks and next model runs will clarify whether the minimum edges toward 24°C or holds higher.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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