**Persistent warm, humid conditions under a stable late-summer air mass are positioning the 76–81°F range as the market’s leading outcomes for Miami’s September 13 overnight low.** As of September 11, 2026, official and model guidance show daytime highs near 88–89°F with scattered thunderstorms or showers possible, which can limit radiational cooling overnight. This setup typically keeps minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s, above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 77.1°F for the date. Recent model consensus favors a low near 78–79°F, aligning with the highest market-implied probability (37.5%), while slightly cooler outcomes (76–77°F at 25.5%) remain plausible if clearer skies allow more cooling. Warmer bins (80–81°F at 23.5%) reflect the risk of persistent cloud cover or a stronger sea-breeze regime suppressing the diurnal drop. No significant cold-front passage or atypical steering pattern is indicated in the short term, so traders are weighting current National Weather Service and ensemble guidance that favors near-normal to slightly above-normal minima. Updated forecast discussions and overnight observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 13?
74-75°F 39%
82-83°F 38%
78-79°F 38%
80-81°F 29%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
71°F or below
23%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
38%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
74-75°F 39%
82-83°F 38%
78-79°F 38%
80-81°F 29%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
71°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
82-83°F
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
84-85°F
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
86-87°F
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
88-89°F
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
90°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions under a stable late-summer air mass are positioning the 76–81°F range as the market’s leading outcomes for Miami’s September 13 overnight low.**
As of September 11, 2026, official and model guidance show daytime highs near 88–89°F with scattered thunderstorms or showers possible, which can limit radiational cooling overnight. This setup typically keeps minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s, above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 77.1°F for the date. Recent model consensus favors a low near 78–79°F, aligning with the highest market-implied probability (37.5%), while slightly cooler outcomes (76–77°F at 25.5%) remain plausible if clearer skies allow more cooling. Warmer bins (80–81°F at 23.5%) reflect the risk of persistent cloud cover or a stronger sea-breeze regime suppressing the diurnal drop. No significant cold-front passage or atypical steering pattern is indicated in the short term, so traders are weighting current National Weather Service and ensemble guidance that favors near-normal to slightly above-normal minima. Updated forecast discussions and overnight observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions under a stable late-summer air mass are positioning the 76–81°F range as the market’s leading outcomes for Miami’s September 13 overnight low.**
As of September 11, 2026, official and model guidance show daytime highs near 88–89°F with scattered thunderstorms or showers possible, which can limit radiational cooling overnight. This setup typically keeps minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s, above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 77.1°F for the date. Recent model consensus favors a low near 78–79°F, aligning with the highest market-implied probability (37.5%), while slightly cooler outcomes (76–77°F at 25.5%) remain plausible if clearer skies allow more cooling. Warmer bins (80–81°F at 23.5%) reflect the risk of persistent cloud cover or a stronger sea-breeze regime suppressing the diurnal drop. No significant cold-front passage or atypical steering pattern is indicated in the short term, so traders are weighting current National Weather Service and ensemble guidance that favors near-normal to slightly above-normal minima. Updated forecast discussions and overnight observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent warm, humid conditions under a stable late-summer air mass are positioning the 76–81°F range as the market’s leading outcomes for Miami’s September 13 overnight low.** As of September 11, 2026, official and model guidance show daytime highs near 88–89°F with scattered thunderstorms or showers possible, which can limit radiational cooling overnight. This setup typically keeps minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s, above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 77.1°F for the date. Recent model consensus favors a low near 78–79°F, aligning with the highest market-implied probability (37.5%), while slightly cooler outcomes (76–77°F at 25.5%) remain plausible if clearer skies allow more cooling. Warmer bins (80–81°F at 23.5%) reflect the risk of persistent cloud cover or a stronger sea-breeze regime suppressing the diurnal drop. No significant cold-front passage or atypical steering pattern is indicated in the short term, so traders are weighting current National Weather Service and ensemble guidance that favors near-normal to slightly above-normal minima. Updated forecast discussions and overnight observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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