Recent forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service of Mexico and international ensembles point to a maximum temperature of 22–24°C in Mexico City on September 14, shaped by the ongoing rainy season’s cloud cover, easterly moisture influx, and light winds that limit daytime heating. Persistent precipitation chances near 60% further moderate peaks, consistent with historical September averages near 23–25°C at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 24°C reflect this consensus, while the combined 34% probability on 25°C or higher accounts for potential model spread or brief clearing. Updated runs from NOAA and regional agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 14?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 14?
24°C 42%
25°C 34%
26°C or higher 33%
23°C 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
16°C or below
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
21%
24°C
42%
25°C
34%
26°C or higher
33%
24°C 42%
25°C 34%
26°C or higher 33%
23°C 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
16°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
23°C
$216 ปริมาณ
21%
24°C
$47 ปริมาณ
42%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
34%
26°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service of Mexico and international ensembles point to a maximum temperature of 22–24°C in Mexico City on September 14, shaped by the ongoing rainy season’s cloud cover, easterly moisture influx, and light winds that limit daytime heating. Persistent precipitation chances near 60% further moderate peaks, consistent with historical September averages near 23–25°C at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 24°C reflect this consensus, while the combined 34% probability on 25°C or higher accounts for potential model spread or brief clearing. Updated runs from NOAA and regional agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$263วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service of Mexico and international ensembles point to a maximum temperature of 22–24°C in Mexico City on September 14, shaped by the ongoing rainy season’s cloud cover, easterly moisture influx, and light winds that limit daytime heating. Persistent precipitation chances near 60% further moderate peaks, consistent with historical September averages near 23–25°C at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 24°C reflect this consensus, while the combined 34% probability on 25°C or higher accounts for potential model spread or brief clearing. Updated runs from NOAA and regional agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$263วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service of Mexico and international ensembles point to a maximum temperature of 22–24°C in Mexico City on September 14, shaped by the ongoing rainy season’s cloud cover, easterly moisture influx, and light winds that limit daytime heating. Persistent precipitation chances near 60% further moderate peaks, consistent with historical September averages near 23–25°C at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 24°C reflect this consensus, while the combined 34% probability on 25°C or higher accounts for potential model spread or brief clearing. Updated runs from NOAA and regional agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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