Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the upper 70s for Miami on September 14, supporting the tight market clustering around 76–79°F. Typical late-summer conditions—high humidity, light variable winds, and scattered afternoon/evening thunderstorms—limit radiational cooling while preventing sharp drops. Forecasters highlight partly cloudy skies overnight that could allow modest cooling to the mid- or upper 70s, yet lingering moisture and cloud cover from convection keep some runs closer to 80°F. With no cold front or unusual steering patterns expected, the narrow spread between leading bins reflects genuine uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds rather than divergent scientific outlooks. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 14?
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 38%
72-73°F 16%
70-71°F 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
69°F or below
7%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
38%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 38%
72-73°F 16%
70-71°F 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
69°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
74-75°F
$35 ปริมาณ
13%
76-77°F
$90 ปริมาณ
38%
78-79°F
$89 ปริมาณ
42%
80-81°F
$20 ปริมาณ
14%
82-83°F
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
84-85°F
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
86-87°F
$50 ปริมาณ
1%
88°F or higher
$50 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the upper 70s for Miami on September 14, supporting the tight market clustering around 76–79°F. Typical late-summer conditions—high humidity, light variable winds, and scattered afternoon/evening thunderstorms—limit radiational cooling while preventing sharp drops. Forecasters highlight partly cloudy skies overnight that could allow modest cooling to the mid- or upper 70s, yet lingering moisture and cloud cover from convection keep some runs closer to 80°F. With no cold front or unusual steering patterns expected, the narrow spread between leading bins reflects genuine uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds rather than divergent scientific outlooks. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$334วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the upper 70s for Miami on September 14, supporting the tight market clustering around 76–79°F. Typical late-summer conditions—high humidity, light variable winds, and scattered afternoon/evening thunderstorms—limit radiational cooling while preventing sharp drops. Forecasters highlight partly cloudy skies overnight that could allow modest cooling to the mid- or upper 70s, yet lingering moisture and cloud cover from convection keep some runs closer to 80°F. With no cold front or unusual steering patterns expected, the narrow spread between leading bins reflects genuine uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds rather than divergent scientific outlooks. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$334วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the upper 70s for Miami on September 14, supporting the tight market clustering around 76–79°F. Typical late-summer conditions—high humidity, light variable winds, and scattered afternoon/evening thunderstorms—limit radiational cooling while preventing sharp drops. Forecasters highlight partly cloudy skies overnight that could allow modest cooling to the mid- or upper 70s, yet lingering moisture and cloud cover from convection keep some runs closer to 80°F. With no cold front or unusual steering patterns expected, the narrow spread between leading bins reflects genuine uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds rather than divergent scientific outlooks. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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