Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and Weather Atlas indicate a daytime high in Wellington of 14–16°C on September 13, with 15°C emerging as the consensus outcome amid partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and minimal precipitation. This places the expected maximum a few degrees above the September climatological average of roughly 12.5–13°C, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and clear overnight radiational cooling followed by modest solar heating. Market-implied odds align closely with these projections, as traders weigh the tight clustering of model guidance against typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. No significant model divergence or rapid atmospheric shifts appear in the latest runs, supporting the strong positioning of the 14–16°C outcomes ahead of official observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on September 13?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 13?
15°C 65%
14°C 18%
16°C 16%
17°C 2.5%
ใหม่
$13,929 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,929 ปริมาณ
Sep 13, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
18%
15°C
65%
16°C
16%
17°C
3%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 65%
14°C 18%
16°C 16%
17°C 2.5%
ใหม่
$13,929 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,929 ปริมาณ
Sep 13, 2026
10°C or below
$158 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$284 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$180 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$735 ปริมาณ
2%
14°C
$2,830 ปริมาณ
18%
15°C
$4,243 ปริมาณ
65%
16°C
$3,957 ปริมาณ
16%
17°C
$536 ปริมาณ
3%
18°C
$48 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$746 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C or higher
$213 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and Weather Atlas indicate a daytime high in Wellington of 14–16°C on September 13, with 15°C emerging as the consensus outcome amid partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and minimal precipitation. This places the expected maximum a few degrees above the September climatological average of roughly 12.5–13°C, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and clear overnight radiational cooling followed by modest solar heating. Market-implied odds align closely with these projections, as traders weigh the tight clustering of model guidance against typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. No significant model divergence or rapid atmospheric shifts appear in the latest runs, supporting the strong positioning of the 14–16°C outcomes ahead of official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,929วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and Weather Atlas indicate a daytime high in Wellington of 14–16°C on September 13, with 15°C emerging as the consensus outcome amid partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and minimal precipitation. This places the expected maximum a few degrees above the September climatological average of roughly 12.5–13°C, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and clear overnight radiational cooling followed by modest solar heating. Market-implied odds align closely with these projections, as traders weigh the tight clustering of model guidance against typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. No significant model divergence or rapid atmospheric shifts appear in the latest runs, supporting the strong positioning of the 14–16°C outcomes ahead of official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,929วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and Weather Atlas indicate a daytime high in Wellington of 14–16°C on September 13, with 15°C emerging as the consensus outcome amid partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and minimal precipitation. This places the expected maximum a few degrees above the September climatological average of roughly 12.5–13°C, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and clear overnight radiational cooling followed by modest solar heating. Market-implied odds align closely with these projections, as traders weigh the tight clustering of model guidance against typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. No significant model divergence or rapid atmospheric shifts appear in the latest runs, supporting the strong positioning of the 14–16°C outcomes ahead of official observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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