Recent forecasts from sources like WeatherBug, PredictWind, and Yr.no indicate highs of 16–17°C for Helsinki on September 14, 2026, aligning with the market's strong preference for 17°C at 53.5% implied probability. Mid-September marks the seasonal transition in southern Finland, with declining solar input and typical high temperatures near 15.7°C based on 1991–2020 normals. Current conditions feature stable high pressure, light southwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating, while models show no significant warm advection or clear-sky intensification ahead. This consensus supports 17–18°C as the most probable peak range, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust outcomes within the narrow 16–18°C band favored by traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Helsinki on September 14?
17°C 54%
18°C 21%
16°C 17%
15°C 8%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
5%
15°C
8%
16°C
17%
17°C
54%
18°C
21%
19°C
6%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
17°C 54%
18°C 21%
16°C 17%
15°C 8%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
5%
15°C
8%
16°C
17%
17°C
54%
18°C
21%
19°C
6%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like WeatherBug, PredictWind, and Yr.no indicate highs of 16–17°C for Helsinki on September 14, 2026, aligning with the market's strong preference for 17°C at 53.5% implied probability. Mid-September marks the seasonal transition in southern Finland, with declining solar input and typical high temperatures near 15.7°C based on 1991–2020 normals. Current conditions feature stable high pressure, light southwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating, while models show no significant warm advection or clear-sky intensification ahead. This consensus supports 17–18°C as the most probable peak range, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust outcomes within the narrow 16–18°C band favored by traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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