Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate a cooling trend for Istanbul on September 14 driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds, with consensus highs clustered in the low-to-mid 20s°C amid 40-60% precipitation chances. This genuine uncertainty around boundary-layer mixing, convective timing, and exact rainfall totals explains the near-tie between 28°C-or-higher and 18°C-or-below outcomes, as even modest shifts in insolation or storm tracks could push the daily maximum across those thresholds. September climatology, with average highs near 23°C, provides context, while upcoming model runs and official briefings from Turkish meteorological services will likely refine the range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 14?
22°C 42%
21°C 40%
20°C 39%
24°C 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
18°C or below
38%
19°C
6%
20°C
39%
21°C
40%
22°C
42%
23°C
20%
24°C
39%
25°C
15%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
34%
22°C 42%
21°C 40%
20°C 39%
24°C 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
18°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
22°C
$7 ปริมาณ
42%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate a cooling trend for Istanbul on September 14 driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds, with consensus highs clustered in the low-to-mid 20s°C amid 40-60% precipitation chances. This genuine uncertainty around boundary-layer mixing, convective timing, and exact rainfall totals explains the near-tie between 28°C-or-higher and 18°C-or-below outcomes, as even modest shifts in insolation or storm tracks could push the daily maximum across those thresholds. September climatology, with average highs near 23°C, provides context, while upcoming model runs and official briefings from Turkish meteorological services will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate a cooling trend for Istanbul on September 14 driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds, with consensus highs clustered in the low-to-mid 20s°C amid 40-60% precipitation chances. This genuine uncertainty around boundary-layer mixing, convective timing, and exact rainfall totals explains the near-tie between 28°C-or-higher and 18°C-or-below outcomes, as even modest shifts in insolation or storm tracks could push the daily maximum across those thresholds. September climatology, with average highs near 23°C, provides context, while upcoming model runs and official briefings from Turkish meteorological services will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate a cooling trend for Istanbul on September 14 driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds, with consensus highs clustered in the low-to-mid 20s°C amid 40-60% precipitation chances. This genuine uncertainty around boundary-layer mixing, convective timing, and exact rainfall totals explains the near-tie between 28°C-or-higher and 18°C-or-below outcomes, as even modest shifts in insolation or storm tracks could push the daily maximum across those thresholds. September climatology, with average highs near 23°C, provides context, while upcoming model runs and official briefings from Turkish meteorological services will likely refine the range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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