Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a daily minimum in Istanbul on September 14 between 15–20 °C, driven by scattered showers and increased northerly flow that limits daytime heating while allowing radiational cooling overnight. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small timing differences in precipitation can shift the low by several degrees, keeping the 14 °C-or-below and 24 °C-or-higher outcomes nearly even at roughly 50 % each. Historical September minima average near 17 °C, so current conditions represent modest cooling relative to recent warm anomalies. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent regional guidance and the next model cycle will clarify whether the low settles near 15–16 °C or stays closer to 19–20 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 14?
14°C or below 100%
24°C or higher 98%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
100%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C or higher
98%
14°C or below 100%
24°C or higher 98%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
24°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a daily minimum in Istanbul on September 14 between 15–20 °C, driven by scattered showers and increased northerly flow that limits daytime heating while allowing radiational cooling overnight. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small timing differences in precipitation can shift the low by several degrees, keeping the 14 °C-or-below and 24 °C-or-higher outcomes nearly even at roughly 50 % each. Historical September minima average near 17 °C, so current conditions represent modest cooling relative to recent warm anomalies. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent regional guidance and the next model cycle will clarify whether the low settles near 15–16 °C or stays closer to 19–20 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a daily minimum in Istanbul on September 14 between 15–20 °C, driven by scattered showers and increased northerly flow that limits daytime heating while allowing radiational cooling overnight. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small timing differences in precipitation can shift the low by several degrees, keeping the 14 °C-or-below and 24 °C-or-higher outcomes nearly even at roughly 50 % each. Historical September minima average near 17 °C, so current conditions represent modest cooling relative to recent warm anomalies. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent regional guidance and the next model cycle will clarify whether the low settles near 15–16 °C or stays closer to 19–20 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a daily minimum in Istanbul on September 14 between 15–20 °C, driven by scattered showers and increased northerly flow that limits daytime heating while allowing radiational cooling overnight. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small timing differences in precipitation can shift the low by several degrees, keeping the 14 °C-or-below and 24 °C-or-higher outcomes nearly even at roughly 50 % each. Historical September minima average near 17 °C, so current conditions represent modest cooling relative to recent warm anomalies. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent regional guidance and the next model cycle will clarify whether the low settles near 15–16 °C or stays closer to 19–20 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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