Latest ensemble forecasts from global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a daily maximum near 19–20 °C for Warsaw on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. Persistent cloud cover limits surface heating while higher dew points and humidity near 70–90 % moderate the peak, with only isolated light showers expected. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-September, where afternoon highs typically range 18–22 °C. Model spread in timing of any clearing or minor wind shifts creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–21 °C, underscoring the sensitivity of daily maxima to small changes in insolation and boundary-layer moisture ahead of the next forecast updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 14?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 14?
20°C 39%
19°C 32%
21°C 21%
18°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
7%
19°C
32%
20°C
39%
21°C
21%
22°C
6%
23°C or higher
2%
20°C 39%
19°C 32%
21°C 21%
18°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
13°C or below
$228 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$124 ปริมาณ
1%
15°C
$7 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
17°C
$7 ปริมาณ
4%
18°C
$27 ปริมาณ
7%
19°C
$43 ปริมาณ
32%
20°C
$307 ปริมาณ
39%
21°C
$126 ปริมาณ
21%
22°C
$17 ปริมาณ
6%
23°C or higher
$98 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a daily maximum near 19–20 °C for Warsaw on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. Persistent cloud cover limits surface heating while higher dew points and humidity near 70–90 % moderate the peak, with only isolated light showers expected. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-September, where afternoon highs typically range 18–22 °C. Model spread in timing of any clearing or minor wind shifts creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–21 °C, underscoring the sensitivity of daily maxima to small changes in insolation and boundary-layer moisture ahead of the next forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$984วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a daily maximum near 19–20 °C for Warsaw on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. Persistent cloud cover limits surface heating while higher dew points and humidity near 70–90 % moderate the peak, with only isolated light showers expected. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-September, where afternoon highs typically range 18–22 °C. Model spread in timing of any clearing or minor wind shifts creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–21 °C, underscoring the sensitivity of daily maxima to small changes in insolation and boundary-layer moisture ahead of the next forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$984วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a daily maximum near 19–20 °C for Warsaw on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. Persistent cloud cover limits surface heating while higher dew points and humidity near 70–90 % moderate the peak, with only isolated light showers expected. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-September, where afternoon highs typically range 18–22 °C. Model spread in timing of any clearing or minor wind shifts creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–21 °C, underscoring the sensitivity of daily maxima to small changes in insolation and boundary-layer moisture ahead of the next forecast updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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