Current forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate mostly clear skies and northerly winds over Istanbul on September 12, supporting a daytime maximum in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius under stable high pressure. This setup aligns with seasonal norms for early autumn, where radiative cooling overnight and moderate advection limit warming despite sunny conditions. Trader consensus favoring 26°C or 25°C reflects tight clustering in ensemble runs around these values, with low odds on 27°C or higher stemming from limited moisture or southerly flow that could boost temperatures. Updated model outputs expected overnight will clarify any shifts before resolution based on official station readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 12?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 12?
26°C 56%
25°C 41%
27°C 4%
24°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
41%
26°C
56%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 56%
25°C 41%
27°C 4%
24°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
22°C or below
$80 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$64 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$366 ปริมาณ
3%
25°C
$346 ปริมาณ
41%
26°C
$785 ปริมาณ
56%
27°C
$235 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C
$194 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$77 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$98 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$73 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$135 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate mostly clear skies and northerly winds over Istanbul on September 12, supporting a daytime maximum in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius under stable high pressure. This setup aligns with seasonal norms for early autumn, where radiative cooling overnight and moderate advection limit warming despite sunny conditions. Trader consensus favoring 26°C or 25°C reflects tight clustering in ensemble runs around these values, with low odds on 27°C or higher stemming from limited moisture or southerly flow that could boost temperatures. Updated model outputs expected overnight will clarify any shifts before resolution based on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,454วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate mostly clear skies and northerly winds over Istanbul on September 12, supporting a daytime maximum in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius under stable high pressure. This setup aligns with seasonal norms for early autumn, where radiative cooling overnight and moderate advection limit warming despite sunny conditions. Trader consensus favoring 26°C or 25°C reflects tight clustering in ensemble runs around these values, with low odds on 27°C or higher stemming from limited moisture or southerly flow that could boost temperatures. Updated model outputs expected overnight will clarify any shifts before resolution based on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,454วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate mostly clear skies and northerly winds over Istanbul on September 12, supporting a daytime maximum in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius under stable high pressure. This setup aligns with seasonal norms for early autumn, where radiative cooling overnight and moderate advection limit warming despite sunny conditions. Trader consensus favoring 26°C or 25°C reflects tight clustering in ensemble runs around these values, with low odds on 27°C or higher stemming from limited moisture or southerly flow that could boost temperatures. Updated model outputs expected overnight will clarify any shifts before resolution based on official station readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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