Recent mild overnight conditions in the New York metro area, with minimum temperatures holding in the low 70s°F under mostly clear skies and light winds, have driven the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 70-71°F (45%) and 72-73°F (40%) bins. Official observations from stations such as Central Park and LaGuardia align with these ranges, exceeding the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 63°F for September 11. Traders appear focused on minor station-to-station differences and any final quality-control adjustments in National Weather Service data, while lower-probability outcomes below 68°F reflect the absence of stronger radiational cooling or a passing cold front. Updated model verification and any revised daily summaries expected in coming days could refine resolution within these leading brackets.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on September 11?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 11?
70-71°F 45%
72-73°F 40%
68-69°F 8%
62-63°F 1.5%
$6,275 ปริมาณ
$6,275 ปริมาณ
Sep 11, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
34%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
45%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 45%
72-73°F 40%
68-69°F 8%
62-63°F 1.5%
$6,275 ปริมาณ
$6,275 ปริมาณ
Sep 11, 2026
61°F or below
$257 ปริมาณ
<1%
62-63°F
$81 ปริมาณ
2%
64-65°F
$228 ปริมาณ
1%
66-67°F
$396 ปริมาณ
34%
68-69°F
$748 ปริมาณ
8%
70-71°F
$2,322 ปริมาณ
45%
72-73°F
$992 ปริมาณ
40%
74-75°F
$714 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$364 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$126 ปริมาณ
<1%
80°F or higher
$91 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent mild overnight conditions in the New York metro area, with minimum temperatures holding in the low 70s°F under mostly clear skies and light winds, have driven the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 70-71°F (45%) and 72-73°F (40%) bins. Official observations from stations such as Central Park and LaGuardia align with these ranges, exceeding the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 63°F for September 11. Traders appear focused on minor station-to-station differences and any final quality-control adjustments in National Weather Service data, while lower-probability outcomes below 68°F reflect the absence of stronger radiational cooling or a passing cold front. Updated model verification and any revised daily summaries expected in coming days could refine resolution within these leading brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,275วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent mild overnight conditions in the New York metro area, with minimum temperatures holding in the low 70s°F under mostly clear skies and light winds, have driven the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 70-71°F (45%) and 72-73°F (40%) bins. Official observations from stations such as Central Park and LaGuardia align with these ranges, exceeding the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 63°F for September 11. Traders appear focused on minor station-to-station differences and any final quality-control adjustments in National Weather Service data, while lower-probability outcomes below 68°F reflect the absence of stronger radiational cooling or a passing cold front. Updated model verification and any revised daily summaries expected in coming days could refine resolution within these leading brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,275วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent mild overnight conditions in the New York metro area, with minimum temperatures holding in the low 70s°F under mostly clear skies and light winds, have driven the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 70-71°F (45%) and 72-73°F (40%) bins. Official observations from stations such as Central Park and LaGuardia align with these ranges, exceeding the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 63°F for September 11. Traders appear focused on minor station-to-station differences and any final quality-control adjustments in National Weather Service data, while lower-probability outcomes below 68°F reflect the absence of stronger radiational cooling or a passing cold front. Updated model verification and any revised daily summaries expected in coming days could refine resolution within these leading brackets.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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