Recent official forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 26°C for Incheon on September 14, driven by stable northwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation under a typical early-autumn pattern with no significant warm or cold advection expected. Current observations on September 12 show highs near 24–25°C, consistent with the gradual seasonal decline from summer peaks, while ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 25–27°C without outlier runs favoring extremes. This model consensus underpins the market's 51.5% implied probability on 26°C, with lower probabilities assigned to adjacent values reflecting residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local urban heat effects. Updated model runs and any late shifts in steering flow will be key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
26°C 52%
27°C 21%
25°C 20%
28°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
20%
26°C
52%
27°C
21%
28°C
6%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
2%
26°C 52%
27°C 21%
25°C 20%
28°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
$43 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$13 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$70 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$37 ปริมาณ
4%
24°C
$168 ปริมาณ
5%
25°C
$135 ปริมาณ
20%
26°C
$1,053 ปริมาณ
52%
27°C
$170 ปริมาณ
21%
28°C
$79 ปริมาณ
6%
29°C
$19 ปริมาณ
5%
30°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 26°C for Incheon on September 14, driven by stable northwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation under a typical early-autumn pattern with no significant warm or cold advection expected. Current observations on September 12 show highs near 24–25°C, consistent with the gradual seasonal decline from summer peaks, while ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 25–27°C without outlier runs favoring extremes. This model consensus underpins the market's 51.5% implied probability on 26°C, with lower probabilities assigned to adjacent values reflecting residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local urban heat effects. Updated model runs and any late shifts in steering flow will be key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,783วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 26°C for Incheon on September 14, driven by stable northwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation under a typical early-autumn pattern with no significant warm or cold advection expected. Current observations on September 12 show highs near 24–25°C, consistent with the gradual seasonal decline from summer peaks, while ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 25–27°C without outlier runs favoring extremes. This model consensus underpins the market's 51.5% implied probability on 26°C, with lower probabilities assigned to adjacent values reflecting residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local urban heat effects. Updated model runs and any late shifts in steering flow will be key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,783วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 26°C for Incheon on September 14, driven by stable northwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation under a typical early-autumn pattern with no significant warm or cold advection expected. Current observations on September 12 show highs near 24–25°C, consistent with the gradual seasonal decline from summer peaks, while ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 25–27°C without outlier runs favoring extremes. This model consensus underpins the market's 51.5% implied probability on 26°C, with lower probabilities assigned to adjacent values reflecting residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local urban heat effects. Updated model runs and any late shifts in steering flow will be key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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