Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Incheon around 18–20°C for September 14 under partly cloudy to clearing skies with northwest winds of 5–8 m/s. These conditions promote moderate radiative cooling after sunset while limiting extreme drops through boundary-layer mixing and residual humidity near 60–70%. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time, supporting market clustering on 19°C and 20°C as the most probable outcomes. Historical September minima average near 17–18°C, but the current synoptic pattern with high pressure and limited frontal activity favors slightly milder readings. Updated model runs and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
19°C 40%
20°C 31%
18°C 22%
21°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
3%
15°C
3%
16°C
6%
17°C
9%
18°C
22%
19°C
31%
20°C
31%
21°C
10%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
5%
19°C 40%
20°C 31%
18°C 22%
21°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
19°C
$274 ปริมาณ
31%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
31%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Incheon around 18–20°C for September 14 under partly cloudy to clearing skies with northwest winds of 5–8 m/s. These conditions promote moderate radiative cooling after sunset while limiting extreme drops through boundary-layer mixing and residual humidity near 60–70%. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time, supporting market clustering on 19°C and 20°C as the most probable outcomes. Historical September minima average near 17–18°C, but the current synoptic pattern with high pressure and limited frontal activity favors slightly milder readings. Updated model runs and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$274วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Incheon around 18–20°C for September 14 under partly cloudy to clearing skies with northwest winds of 5–8 m/s. These conditions promote moderate radiative cooling after sunset while limiting extreme drops through boundary-layer mixing and residual humidity near 60–70%. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time, supporting market clustering on 19°C and 20°C as the most probable outcomes. Historical September minima average near 17–18°C, but the current synoptic pattern with high pressure and limited frontal activity favors slightly milder readings. Updated model runs and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$274วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Incheon around 18–20°C for September 14 under partly cloudy to clearing skies with northwest winds of 5–8 m/s. These conditions promote moderate radiative cooling after sunset while limiting extreme drops through boundary-layer mixing and residual humidity near 60–70%. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time, supporting market clustering on 19°C and 20°C as the most probable outcomes. Historical September minima average near 17–18°C, but the current synoptic pattern with high pressure and limited frontal activity favors slightly milder readings. Updated model runs and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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