Recent forecasts from GFS and other models position 19°C as the leading outcome for Seoul/Incheon’s minimum on September 13, with overnight temperatures expected to bottom near that level under persistent overcast skies and light westerly winds. High pressure and stable atmospheric conditions are limiting radiative cooling, while elevated humidity and cloud cover prevent sharper drops that would favor 17°C or lower. Trader consensus aligns with these model runs showing a narrow range around 18–20°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region when no strong cold advection is present. Updated guidance through the evening of September 12 will be the key near-term input before the market resolves.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 13?
19°C 37%
18°C 19%
20°C 11%
17°C 7%
16°C or below
7%
17°C
20%
18°C
19%
19°C
37%
20°C
11%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
19°C 37%
18°C 19%
20°C 11%
17°C 7%
16°C or below
7%
17°C
20%
18°C
19%
19°C
37%
20°C
11%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from GFS and other models position 19°C as the leading outcome for Seoul/Incheon’s minimum on September 13, with overnight temperatures expected to bottom near that level under persistent overcast skies and light westerly winds. High pressure and stable atmospheric conditions are limiting radiative cooling, while elevated humidity and cloud cover prevent sharper drops that would favor 17°C or lower. Trader consensus aligns with these model runs showing a narrow range around 18–20°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region when no strong cold advection is present. Updated guidance through the evening of September 12 will be the key near-term input before the market resolves.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย