Recent Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration guidance highlights southwest monsoon influence and scattered thunderstorms over Metro Manila on September 17, promoting extensive cloud cover that limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima. Official temperature ranges of 24–33 °C align with ensemble model outputs showing afternoon peaks most often near 30–32 °C, consistent with historical September climatology of roughly 31 °C highs amid frequent convective activity. El Niño conditions in the Pacific add background warmth but are currently offset by monsoon moisture and variable steering patterns. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31–32 °C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and intensity that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. PAGASA’s next dekadal update and refined local model runs will provide the key near-term signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on September 17?
32°C 37%
31°C 26%
30°C 16%
33°C 16%
$10,018 ปริมาณ
$10,018 ปริมาณ
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
16%
31°C
26%
32°C
37%
33°C
16%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
31°C 26%
30°C 16%
33°C 16%
$10,018 ปริมาณ
$10,018 ปริมาณ
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
16%
31°C
26%
32°C
37%
33°C
16%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration guidance highlights southwest monsoon influence and scattered thunderstorms over Metro Manila on September 17, promoting extensive cloud cover that limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima. Official temperature ranges of 24–33 °C align with ensemble model outputs showing afternoon peaks most often near 30–32 °C, consistent with historical September climatology of roughly 31 °C highs amid frequent convective activity. El Niño conditions in the Pacific add background warmth but are currently offset by monsoon moisture and variable steering patterns. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31–32 °C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and intensity that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. PAGASA’s next dekadal update and refined local model runs will provide the key near-term signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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