**Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models converge on a daily maximum near 24°C for Toronto on September 17, with a 40% chance of showers under mostly cloudy skies.** Light northeasterly winds shifting easterly, combined with increased cloud cover from an approaching weather system, will limit daytime heating compared to the clearer, warmer conditions expected on the 16th. These factors—reduced solar insolation, modest evaporative cooling from any showers, and stable boundary-layer mixing—narrow the likely peak to the 22–25°C range, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–24°C. Minor model differences in cloud thickness and shower timing account for the spread among leading outcomes, while historical mid-September maxima near 21°C provide context for the current mild anomaly. Updated model runs and the next Environment Canada briefing remain key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Toronto on September 17?
Highest temperature in Toronto on September 17?
24°C 32%
23°C 26%
25°C 24%
22°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
19°C or below
4%
20°C
7%
21°C
4%
22°C
14%
23°C
26%
24°C
32%
25°C
24%
26°C
11%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 32%
23°C 26%
25°C 24%
22°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
19°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
20°C
$10 ปริมาณ
7%
21°C
$15 ปริมาณ
4%
22°C
$17 ปริมาณ
14%
23°C
$20 ปริมาณ
26%
24°C
$205 ปริมาณ
32%
25°C
$71 ปริมาณ
24%
26°C
$5 ปริมาณ
11%
27°C
$121 ปริมาณ
3%
28°C
$125 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C or higher
$158 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models converge on a daily maximum near 24°C for Toronto on September 17, with a 40% chance of showers under mostly cloudy skies.** Light northeasterly winds shifting easterly, combined with increased cloud cover from an approaching weather system, will limit daytime heating compared to the clearer, warmer conditions expected on the 16th. These factors—reduced solar insolation, modest evaporative cooling from any showers, and stable boundary-layer mixing—narrow the likely peak to the 22–25°C range, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–24°C. Minor model differences in cloud thickness and shower timing account for the spread among leading outcomes, while historical mid-September maxima near 21°C provide context for the current mild anomaly. Updated model runs and the next Environment Canada briefing remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$747วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models converge on a daily maximum near 24°C for Toronto on September 17, with a 40% chance of showers under mostly cloudy skies.** Light northeasterly winds shifting easterly, combined with increased cloud cover from an approaching weather system, will limit daytime heating compared to the clearer, warmer conditions expected on the 16th. These factors—reduced solar insolation, modest evaporative cooling from any showers, and stable boundary-layer mixing—narrow the likely peak to the 22–25°C range, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–24°C. Minor model differences in cloud thickness and shower timing account for the spread among leading outcomes, while historical mid-September maxima near 21°C provide context for the current mild anomaly. Updated model runs and the next Environment Canada briefing remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$747วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models converge on a daily maximum near 24°C for Toronto on September 17, with a 40% chance of showers under mostly cloudy skies.** Light northeasterly winds shifting easterly, combined with increased cloud cover from an approaching weather system, will limit daytime heating compared to the clearer, warmer conditions expected on the 16th. These factors—reduced solar insolation, modest evaporative cooling from any showers, and stable boundary-layer mixing—narrow the likely peak to the 22–25°C range, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–24°C. Minor model differences in cloud thickness and shower timing account for the spread among leading outcomes, while historical mid-September maxima near 21°C provide context for the current mild anomaly. Updated model runs and the next Environment Canada briefing remain key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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