Forecast models from multiple agencies currently point to a Toronto high temperature on September 16 near 24–25 °C, with 25 °C holding the highest market-implied probability at 36.5 %. A transitional southerly flow earlier in the week has been replaced by northerly winds and increasing cloud cover, which limits peak solar heating while moderating overnight lows around 18–19 °C. Afternoon showers or scattered drizzle in some runs further cap the maximum by reducing insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical mid-September averages near 21 °C provide context, but the current pattern reflects a brief warm anomaly driven by upstream ridging. Traders closely monitor updated model consensus and any last-minute shifts in cloud or precipitation timing that could differentiate a 24 °C versus 26 °C outcome before official Environment Canada verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Toronto on September 16?
25°C 37%
24°C 30%
26°C 20%
23°C 14%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
14%
24°C
30%
25°C
37%
26°C
20%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
4%
25°C 37%
24°C 30%
26°C 20%
23°C 14%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
14%
24°C
30%
25°C
37%
26°C
20%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple agencies currently point to a Toronto high temperature on September 16 near 24–25 °C, with 25 °C holding the highest market-implied probability at 36.5 %. A transitional southerly flow earlier in the week has been replaced by northerly winds and increasing cloud cover, which limits peak solar heating while moderating overnight lows around 18–19 °C. Afternoon showers or scattered drizzle in some runs further cap the maximum by reducing insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical mid-September averages near 21 °C provide context, but the current pattern reflects a brief warm anomaly driven by upstream ridging. Traders closely monitor updated model consensus and any last-minute shifts in cloud or precipitation timing that could differentiate a 24 °C versus 26 °C outcome before official Environment Canada verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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