Recent forecasts from sources including Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a moderating weather pattern for Taipei on September 16, with northeast monsoon flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers expected to limit daytime heating. Model consensus points to a daily high near 28–29°C, following cooler conditions on the 15th after higher readings near 31–33°C on the 14th. Elevated humidity and reduced solar insolation from persistent cloud decks are the main factors differentiating outcomes around 29°C versus 30–31°C, as even modest changes in precipitation timing or wind strength can shift peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables heavily, with closely matched implied odds reflecting model spread and typical late-summer variability in subtropical Taiwan.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Taipei on September 16?
30°C 32%
29°C 30%
31°C 13%
28°C 12%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
6%
28°C
12%
29°C
30%
30°C
32%
31°C
13%
32°C
10%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 32%
29°C 30%
31°C 13%
28°C 12%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
6%
28°C
12%
29°C
30%
30°C
32%
31°C
13%
32°C
10%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a moderating weather pattern for Taipei on September 16, with northeast monsoon flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers expected to limit daytime heating. Model consensus points to a daily high near 28–29°C, following cooler conditions on the 15th after higher readings near 31–33°C on the 14th. Elevated humidity and reduced solar insolation from persistent cloud decks are the main factors differentiating outcomes around 29°C versus 30–31°C, as even modest changes in precipitation timing or wind strength can shift peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables heavily, with closely matched implied odds reflecting model spread and typical late-summer variability in subtropical Taiwan.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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