Recent model consensus from sources such as GFS points to a peak temperature in Warsaw on September 16 between 24–26°C, driven by southerly winds advecting milder air masses and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that permit strong daytime insolation without significant precipitation or frontal passage. The close market split between 24°C and 25°C reflects minor ensemble differences in afternoon cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, while lower probabilities for 26°C or higher align with the risk of earlier stabilization or slightly stronger winds. Historical September averages near 16–20°C provide context for this above-normal but not extreme event, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings from local stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 16?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 16?
25°C 49%
24°C 40%
26°C 8%
23°C 4%
ใหม่
$14,124 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,124 ปริมาณ
Sep 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
40%
25°C
49%
26°C
8%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 49%
24°C 40%
26°C 8%
23°C 4%
ใหม่
$14,124 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,124 ปริมาณ
Sep 16, 2026
19°C or below
$1,549 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$200 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$278 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$22 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$3,195 ปริมาณ
4%
24°C
$2,629 ปริมาณ
40%
25°C
$3,090 ปริมาณ
49%
26°C
$1,273 ปริมาณ
8%
27°C
$278 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$368 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C or higher
$1,241 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources such as GFS points to a peak temperature in Warsaw on September 16 between 24–26°C, driven by southerly winds advecting milder air masses and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that permit strong daytime insolation without significant precipitation or frontal passage. The close market split between 24°C and 25°C reflects minor ensemble differences in afternoon cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, while lower probabilities for 26°C or higher align with the risk of earlier stabilization or slightly stronger winds. Historical September averages near 16–20°C provide context for this above-normal but not extreme event, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,124วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources such as GFS points to a peak temperature in Warsaw on September 16 between 24–26°C, driven by southerly winds advecting milder air masses and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that permit strong daytime insolation without significant precipitation or frontal passage. The close market split between 24°C and 25°C reflects minor ensemble differences in afternoon cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, while lower probabilities for 26°C or higher align with the risk of earlier stabilization or slightly stronger winds. Historical September averages near 16–20°C provide context for this above-normal but not extreme event, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,124วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources such as GFS points to a peak temperature in Warsaw on September 16 between 24–26°C, driven by southerly winds advecting milder air masses and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that permit strong daytime insolation without significant precipitation or frontal passage. The close market split between 24°C and 25°C reflects minor ensemble differences in afternoon cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, while lower probabilities for 26°C or higher align with the risk of earlier stabilization or slightly stronger winds. Historical September averages near 16–20°C provide context for this above-normal but not extreme event, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings from local stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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