Forecast models from agencies including the ECMWF and GFS indicate Shanghai’s minimum temperature on September 16 will likely fall between 21–23°C under northeast flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with the September climatological baseline of 20–22°C lows. Recent observations show stable conditions with daytime maxima near 28–29°C and no strong cold advection or frontal passage expected in the next 48 hours. Trader-implied odds near 50% for 17°C or below versus 44% for 27°C or higher reflect model spread in nocturnal cooling rates and boundary-layer humidity, while the tight clustering around 21–23°C outcomes captures the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance. Updated model runs and local observations over the coming day will likely tighten these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 16?
17°C or below 100%
27°C or higher 87%
18°C 35%
19°C 35%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
17°C or below
100%
18°C
35%
19°C
35%
20°C
35%
21°C
22%
22°C
23%
23°C
22%
24°C
34%
25°C
35%
26°C
35%
27°C or higher
87%
17°C or below 100%
27°C or higher 87%
18°C 35%
19°C 35%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
17°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
34%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
27°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the ECMWF and GFS indicate Shanghai’s minimum temperature on September 16 will likely fall between 21–23°C under northeast flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with the September climatological baseline of 20–22°C lows. Recent observations show stable conditions with daytime maxima near 28–29°C and no strong cold advection or frontal passage expected in the next 48 hours. Trader-implied odds near 50% for 17°C or below versus 44% for 27°C or higher reflect model spread in nocturnal cooling rates and boundary-layer humidity, while the tight clustering around 21–23°C outcomes captures the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance. Updated model runs and local observations over the coming day will likely tighten these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the ECMWF and GFS indicate Shanghai’s minimum temperature on September 16 will likely fall between 21–23°C under northeast flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with the September climatological baseline of 20–22°C lows. Recent observations show stable conditions with daytime maxima near 28–29°C and no strong cold advection or frontal passage expected in the next 48 hours. Trader-implied odds near 50% for 17°C or below versus 44% for 27°C or higher reflect model spread in nocturnal cooling rates and boundary-layer humidity, while the tight clustering around 21–23°C outcomes captures the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance. Updated model runs and local observations over the coming day will likely tighten these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the ECMWF and GFS indicate Shanghai’s minimum temperature on September 16 will likely fall between 21–23°C under northeast flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with the September climatological baseline of 20–22°C lows. Recent observations show stable conditions with daytime maxima near 28–29°C and no strong cold advection or frontal passage expected in the next 48 hours. Trader-implied odds near 50% for 17°C or below versus 44% for 27°C or higher reflect model spread in nocturnal cooling rates and boundary-layer humidity, while the tight clustering around 21–23°C outcomes captures the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance. Updated model runs and local observations over the coming day will likely tighten these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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