Recent global model consensus and local station trends point to a peak temperature near 37–38°C in Jeddah on September 18, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds. Above-normal warmth persists following the 41.4°C reading on September 15, driven by strong subsidence, minimal cloud cover, and intense solar insolation typical of the Red Sea coastal zone in mid-September. High humidity from the adjacent sea moderates daytime maxima while elevating heat index values, and light winds limit mixing. Official resolution hinges on the precise maximum recorded at the Jeddah meteorological station, with any late-model shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture capable of pushing the outcome into the 39°C+ bin or holding it at 37°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 18?
37°C 29%
39°C or higher 26%
38°C 26%
36°C 22%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
3%
35°C
21%
36°C
22%
37°C
29%
38°C
26%
39°C or higher
28%
37°C 29%
39°C or higher 26%
38°C 26%
36°C 22%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
3%
35°C
21%
36°C
22%
37°C
29%
38°C
26%
39°C or higher
28%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent global model consensus and local station trends point to a peak temperature near 37–38°C in Jeddah on September 18, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds. Above-normal warmth persists following the 41.4°C reading on September 15, driven by strong subsidence, minimal cloud cover, and intense solar insolation typical of the Red Sea coastal zone in mid-September. High humidity from the adjacent sea moderates daytime maxima while elevating heat index values, and light winds limit mixing. Official resolution hinges on the precise maximum recorded at the Jeddah meteorological station, with any late-model shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture capable of pushing the outcome into the 39°C+ bin or holding it at 37°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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