Recent model consensus from regional meteorological centers points to southeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover moderating daytime heating in Qingdao, keeping maximum temperatures centered near 26–28 °C on September 18. Coastal sea-breeze effects from the Yellow Sea and limited insolation under multi-cloud conditions reduce the likelihood of exceeding 29 °C, while recent observations of 26–27 °C highs on the 16th and 17th support the market’s heavy weighting toward 28 °C. Forecasters note typical mid-September variability tied to transient high-pressure ridges, with any clearing trend potentially allowing brief spikes that align with the 27 % implied probability on 29 °C. Updated guidance expected from the China Meteorological Administration tomorrow morning will clarify whether steering patterns or moisture shifts alter these thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 18?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 18?
28°C 57%
29°C 29%
27°C 8%
30°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
8%
28°C
57%
29°C
29%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
2%
28°C 57%
29°C 29%
27°C 8%
30°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
21°C or below
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$50 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$149 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$216 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$296 ปริมาณ
8%
28°C
$2,257 ปริมาณ
57%
29°C
$1,353 ปริมาณ
29%
30°C
$361 ปริมาณ
5%
31°C or higher
$148 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional meteorological centers points to southeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover moderating daytime heating in Qingdao, keeping maximum temperatures centered near 26–28 °C on September 18. Coastal sea-breeze effects from the Yellow Sea and limited insolation under multi-cloud conditions reduce the likelihood of exceeding 29 °C, while recent observations of 26–27 °C highs on the 16th and 17th support the market’s heavy weighting toward 28 °C. Forecasters note typical mid-September variability tied to transient high-pressure ridges, with any clearing trend potentially allowing brief spikes that align with the 27 % implied probability on 29 °C. Updated guidance expected from the China Meteorological Administration tomorrow morning will clarify whether steering patterns or moisture shifts alter these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,953วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional meteorological centers points to southeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover moderating daytime heating in Qingdao, keeping maximum temperatures centered near 26–28 °C on September 18. Coastal sea-breeze effects from the Yellow Sea and limited insolation under multi-cloud conditions reduce the likelihood of exceeding 29 °C, while recent observations of 26–27 °C highs on the 16th and 17th support the market’s heavy weighting toward 28 °C. Forecasters note typical mid-September variability tied to transient high-pressure ridges, with any clearing trend potentially allowing brief spikes that align with the 27 % implied probability on 29 °C. Updated guidance expected from the China Meteorological Administration tomorrow morning will clarify whether steering patterns or moisture shifts alter these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,953วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from regional meteorological centers points to southeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover moderating daytime heating in Qingdao, keeping maximum temperatures centered near 26–28 °C on September 18. Coastal sea-breeze effects from the Yellow Sea and limited insolation under multi-cloud conditions reduce the likelihood of exceeding 29 °C, while recent observations of 26–27 °C highs on the 16th and 17th support the market’s heavy weighting toward 28 °C. Forecasters note typical mid-September variability tied to transient high-pressure ridges, with any clearing trend potentially allowing brief spikes that align with the 27 % implied probability on 29 °C. Updated guidance expected from the China Meteorological Administration tomorrow morning will clarify whether steering patterns or moisture shifts alter these thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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