**Trader consensus on an 8–9°C low for Buenos Aires today reflects model runs indicating strong nocturnal radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light northeast winds.** In early spring at 34°S, minimum temperatures are set primarily by outgoing longwave radiation after sunset, modulated by dew-point depression (currently ~11°C) and boundary-layer mixing. Northeast flow off the Río de la Plata limits cold-air advection from Patagonia, while high pressure (1023 hPa) favors subsidence and clearer patches that enhance cooling. The tight 50/45 split between 9°C and 8°C or below captures uncertainty in exact cloud-cover timing and wind-speed variations of just 2–3 m/s, which can shift the minimum by 1°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations tonight will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 18?
8°C or below 100%
9°C 100%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
8°C or below
100%
9°C
100%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
8°C or below 100%
9°C 100%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
8°C or below
100%
9°C
100%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on an 8–9°C low for Buenos Aires today reflects model runs indicating strong nocturnal radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light northeast winds.** In early spring at 34°S, minimum temperatures are set primarily by outgoing longwave radiation after sunset, modulated by dew-point depression (currently ~11°C) and boundary-layer mixing. Northeast flow off the Río de la Plata limits cold-air advection from Patagonia, while high pressure (1023 hPa) favors subsidence and clearer patches that enhance cooling. The tight 50/45 split between 9°C and 8°C or below captures uncertainty in exact cloud-cover timing and wind-speed variations of just 2–3 m/s, which can shift the minimum by 1°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations tonight will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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