**Forecast models indicate a mild spring overnight for Buenos Aires on September 19, with the minimum temperature most likely falling between 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow.** Recent observations show overnight lows near 11–14°C amid stable high pressure, while ensemble guidance diverges on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that control radiative cooling rates. Clearer conditions could allow temperatures to dip toward 12°C or below via enhanced longwave loss, whereas increased cloudiness or warmer advection would support readings near or above 15–16°C. The closely matched market-implied odds around 29–30% for 10°C or below, exactly 14°C, and 20°C or higher reflect this uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer processes and limited recent trend data. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening will clarify whether cooling accelerates or stalls.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 19?
12°C 38%
13°C 38%
17°C 38%
10°C or below 30%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
10°C or below
30%
11°C
17%
12°C
38%
13°C
38%
14°C
30%
15°C
28%
16°C
24%
17°C
38%
18°C
17%
19°C
13%
20°C or higher
-
12°C 38%
13°C 38%
17°C 38%
10°C or below 30%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
10°C or below
$61 ปริมาณ
30%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
15°C
$16 ปริมาณ
28%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
20°C or higher
$320 ปริมาณ
-
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a mild spring overnight for Buenos Aires on September 19, with the minimum temperature most likely falling between 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow.**
Recent observations show overnight lows near 11–14°C amid stable high pressure, while ensemble guidance diverges on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that control radiative cooling rates. Clearer conditions could allow temperatures to dip toward 12°C or below via enhanced longwave loss, whereas increased cloudiness or warmer advection would support readings near or above 15–16°C. The closely matched market-implied odds around 29–30% for 10°C or below, exactly 14°C, and 20°C or higher reflect this uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer processes and limited recent trend data. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening will clarify whether cooling accelerates or stalls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$397วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a mild spring overnight for Buenos Aires on September 19, with the minimum temperature most likely falling between 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow.**
Recent observations show overnight lows near 11–14°C amid stable high pressure, while ensemble guidance diverges on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that control radiative cooling rates. Clearer conditions could allow temperatures to dip toward 12°C or below via enhanced longwave loss, whereas increased cloudiness or warmer advection would support readings near or above 15–16°C. The closely matched market-implied odds around 29–30% for 10°C or below, exactly 14°C, and 20°C or higher reflect this uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer processes and limited recent trend data. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening will clarify whether cooling accelerates or stalls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$397วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a mild spring overnight for Buenos Aires on September 19, with the minimum temperature most likely falling between 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow.** Recent observations show overnight lows near 11–14°C amid stable high pressure, while ensemble guidance diverges on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that control radiative cooling rates. Clearer conditions could allow temperatures to dip toward 12°C or below via enhanced longwave loss, whereas increased cloudiness or warmer advection would support readings near or above 15–16°C. The closely matched market-implied odds around 29–30% for 10°C or below, exactly 14°C, and 20°C or higher reflect this uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer processes and limited recent trend data. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening will clarify whether cooling accelerates or stalls.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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