**Forecast models from multiple sources (including Met Office, Yr.no, and regional meteorology sites) currently point to a daytime high in Istanbul on September 20, 2026, of 24–26°C under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with light northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk.** This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C (62.5%) and 25°C (21%), with 23°C a distant third. Stable high-pressure influence and modest diurnal heating—typical for mid-September in the region, near or slightly above the ~22°C seasonal average high—are the main drivers. No major weather systems or frontal passages are expected to disrupt the pattern before the daily maximum is reached in the afternoon. Recent model runs have shown little shift, keeping probabilities anchored; traders appear to view 24–25°C as the most probable outcome given current observational trends and ensemble agreement. Resolution will depend on official station readings (likely from stations such as Istanbul/Atatürk or Göztepe), with any last-minute forecast adjustments from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service able to nudge sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 20?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 20?
24°C 63%
25°C 21%
23°C 12%
26°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
12%
24°C
63%
25°C
21%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 63%
25°C 21%
23°C 12%
26°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
20°C or below
$96 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$27 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$16 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$232 ปริมาณ
12%
24°C
$778 ปริมาณ
63%
25°C
$297 ปริมาณ
21%
26°C
$199 ปริมาณ
3%
27°C
$115 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$128 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$134 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C or higher
$919 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources (including Met Office, Yr.no, and regional meteorology sites) currently point to a daytime high in Istanbul on September 20, 2026, of 24–26°C under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with light northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk.**
This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C (62.5%) and 25°C (21%), with 23°C a distant third. Stable high-pressure influence and modest diurnal heating—typical for mid-September in the region, near or slightly above the ~22°C seasonal average high—are the main drivers. No major weather systems or frontal passages are expected to disrupt the pattern before the daily maximum is reached in the afternoon.
Recent model runs have shown little shift, keeping probabilities anchored; traders appear to view 24–25°C as the most probable outcome given current observational trends and ensemble agreement. Resolution will depend on official station readings (likely from stations such as Istanbul/Atatürk or Göztepe), with any last-minute forecast adjustments from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service able to nudge sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,941วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources (including Met Office, Yr.no, and regional meteorology sites) currently point to a daytime high in Istanbul on September 20, 2026, of 24–26°C under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with light northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk.**
This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C (62.5%) and 25°C (21%), with 23°C a distant third. Stable high-pressure influence and modest diurnal heating—typical for mid-September in the region, near or slightly above the ~22°C seasonal average high—are the main drivers. No major weather systems or frontal passages are expected to disrupt the pattern before the daily maximum is reached in the afternoon.
Recent model runs have shown little shift, keeping probabilities anchored; traders appear to view 24–25°C as the most probable outcome given current observational trends and ensemble agreement. Resolution will depend on official station readings (likely from stations such as Istanbul/Atatürk or Göztepe), with any last-minute forecast adjustments from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service able to nudge sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,941วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources (including Met Office, Yr.no, and regional meteorology sites) currently point to a daytime high in Istanbul on September 20, 2026, of 24–26°C under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with light northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk.** This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C (62.5%) and 25°C (21%), with 23°C a distant third. Stable high-pressure influence and modest diurnal heating—typical for mid-September in the region, near or slightly above the ~22°C seasonal average high—are the main drivers. No major weather systems or frontal passages are expected to disrupt the pattern before the daily maximum is reached in the afternoon. Recent model runs have shown little shift, keeping probabilities anchored; traders appear to view 24–25°C as the most probable outcome given current observational trends and ensemble agreement. Resolution will depend on official station readings (likely from stations such as Istanbul/Atatürk or Göztepe), with any last-minute forecast adjustments from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service able to nudge sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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