Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources tracking East Asian weather patterns position 24°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s September 19 low, reflecting trader alignment with expected overnight stabilization near that threshold. Persistent northeast winds, high humidity, and widespread cloud cover are limiting radiational cooling, while the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences maintains typical late-September conditions. Multiple runs show lows clustered between 23–25°C, with limited downside risk below 23°C or upside above 25°C absent unexpected model shifts before resolution. Updated guidance over the next 24–48 hours will determine whether probabilities consolidate further around the current frontrunner.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 19?
24°C 51%
25°C 41%
23°C 23%
22°C 20%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
19°C or below
17%
20°C
14%
21°C
18%
22°C
20%
23°C
23%
24°C
51%
25°C
41%
26°C
16%
27°C
20%
28°C
19%
29°C or higher
11%
24°C 51%
25°C 41%
23°C 23%
22°C 20%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
19°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
24°C
$408 ปริมาณ
51%
25°C
$62 ปริมาณ
41%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
29°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources tracking East Asian weather patterns position 24°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s September 19 low, reflecting trader alignment with expected overnight stabilization near that threshold. Persistent northeast winds, high humidity, and widespread cloud cover are limiting radiational cooling, while the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences maintains typical late-September conditions. Multiple runs show lows clustered between 23–25°C, with limited downside risk below 23°C or upside above 25°C absent unexpected model shifts before resolution. Updated guidance over the next 24–48 hours will determine whether probabilities consolidate further around the current frontrunner.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$470วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources tracking East Asian weather patterns position 24°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s September 19 low, reflecting trader alignment with expected overnight stabilization near that threshold. Persistent northeast winds, high humidity, and widespread cloud cover are limiting radiational cooling, while the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences maintains typical late-September conditions. Multiple runs show lows clustered between 23–25°C, with limited downside risk below 23°C or upside above 25°C absent unexpected model shifts before resolution. Updated guidance over the next 24–48 hours will determine whether probabilities consolidate further around the current frontrunner.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$470วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources tracking East Asian weather patterns position 24°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s September 19 low, reflecting trader alignment with expected overnight stabilization near that threshold. Persistent northeast winds, high humidity, and widespread cloud cover are limiting radiational cooling, while the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences maintains typical late-September conditions. Multiple runs show lows clustered between 23–25°C, with limited downside risk below 23°C or upside above 25°C absent unexpected model shifts before resolution. Updated guidance over the next 24–48 hours will determine whether probabilities consolidate further around the current frontrunner.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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