Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional ensembles, project Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 18 to cluster between 23–24°C amid overcast skies, light northeasterly flow, and minimal nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover and elevated dew points near 21–22°C limit temperature drops, consistent with current observations of mild conditions and no incoming cold air mass. These factors position 24°C (50.5%) and 23°C (33.0%) as the dominant outcomes, while lower probabilities for 22°C or 25°C reflect ensemble spread and urban heat influences. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 18?
24°C 43%
23°C 34%
22°C 21%
25°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
21%
23°C
30%
24°C
43%
25°C
13%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 43%
23°C 34%
22°C 21%
25°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
19°C or below
$114 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$14 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
23°C
$756 ปริมาณ
30%
24°C
$1,141 ปริมาณ
43%
25°C
$426 ปริมาณ
13%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C
$64 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C or higher
$89 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional ensembles, project Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 18 to cluster between 23–24°C amid overcast skies, light northeasterly flow, and minimal nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover and elevated dew points near 21–22°C limit temperature drops, consistent with current observations of mild conditions and no incoming cold air mass. These factors position 24°C (50.5%) and 23°C (33.0%) as the dominant outcomes, while lower probabilities for 22°C or 25°C reflect ensemble spread and urban heat influences. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,605วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional ensembles, project Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 18 to cluster between 23–24°C amid overcast skies, light northeasterly flow, and minimal nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover and elevated dew points near 21–22°C limit temperature drops, consistent with current observations of mild conditions and no incoming cold air mass. These factors position 24°C (50.5%) and 23°C (33.0%) as the dominant outcomes, while lower probabilities for 22°C or 25°C reflect ensemble spread and urban heat influences. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,605วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional ensembles, project Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 18 to cluster between 23–24°C amid overcast skies, light northeasterly flow, and minimal nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover and elevated dew points near 21–22°C limit temperature drops, consistent with current observations of mild conditions and no incoming cold air mass. These factors position 24°C (50.5%) and 23°C (33.0%) as the dominant outcomes, while lower probabilities for 22°C or 25°C reflect ensemble spread and urban heat influences. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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