Recent forecast guidance from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a mild spring day in Wellington on September 19, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 15–16 °C under partly cloudy skies and strong northerly winds. A transient ridge building behind an earlier front is expected to allow modest daytime warming, while persistent onshore flow and cloud cover limit further gains. This aligns with early-spring climatology, where September daily maxima average near 13–15 °C. Model consensus has remained stable over the past 48 hours, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 16 °C (63.5 %) and 15 °C (20.5 %), with only modest probability assigned to 17 °C if clearing is more extensive than currently projected. Updated model runs and MetService guidance expected later today will provide the next key data point for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on September 19?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 19?
16°C 64%
15°C 24%
14°C 15%
17°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
15%
15°C
24%
16°C
64%
17°C
11%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 64%
15°C 24%
14°C 15%
17°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
10°C or below
$261 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
15°C
$60 ปริมาณ
24%
16°C
$351 ปริมาณ
64%
17°C
$6 ปริมาณ
11%
18°C
$15 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C or higher
$261 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a mild spring day in Wellington on September 19, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 15–16 °C under partly cloudy skies and strong northerly winds. A transient ridge building behind an earlier front is expected to allow modest daytime warming, while persistent onshore flow and cloud cover limit further gains. This aligns with early-spring climatology, where September daily maxima average near 13–15 °C. Model consensus has remained stable over the past 48 hours, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 16 °C (63.5 %) and 15 °C (20.5 %), with only modest probability assigned to 17 °C if clearing is more extensive than currently projected. Updated model runs and MetService guidance expected later today will provide the next key data point for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,040วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a mild spring day in Wellington on September 19, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 15–16 °C under partly cloudy skies and strong northerly winds. A transient ridge building behind an earlier front is expected to allow modest daytime warming, while persistent onshore flow and cloud cover limit further gains. This aligns with early-spring climatology, where September daily maxima average near 13–15 °C. Model consensus has remained stable over the past 48 hours, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 16 °C (63.5 %) and 15 °C (20.5 %), with only modest probability assigned to 17 °C if clearing is more extensive than currently projected. Updated model runs and MetService guidance expected later today will provide the next key data point for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,040วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a mild spring day in Wellington on September 19, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 15–16 °C under partly cloudy skies and strong northerly winds. A transient ridge building behind an earlier front is expected to allow modest daytime warming, while persistent onshore flow and cloud cover limit further gains. This aligns with early-spring climatology, where September daily maxima average near 13–15 °C. Model consensus has remained stable over the past 48 hours, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 16 °C (63.5 %) and 15 °C (20.5 %), with only modest probability assigned to 17 °C if clearing is more extensive than currently projected. Updated model runs and MetService guidance expected later today will provide the next key data point for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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