The onset of Chongqing’s autumn rainy season around September 15 is the main driver keeping market-implied odds clustered around 21–23 °C for the September 17 daily maximum. Persistent cloud cover, light-to-moderate rainfall, and northeasterly flow are limiting daytime heating, with multiple official and model forecasts showing highs of 21–25 °C under mostly overcast skies and dew points near 19–20 °C. Historical September climatology (average high ~27 °C) is being suppressed by this early-season moisture surge, which also increases the chance of embedded heavier cells that could briefly cool the boundary layer further. Minor differences among global and regional models in rain timing or any brief afternoon breaks explain the tight spread between the 21 °C-or-below, 22 °C, and 23 °C contracts; traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration update for any shift in the 24-hour rainfall or wind forecasts that could nudge the realized peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 17?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 17?
21°C or below 27%
23°C 26%
22°C 24%
24°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
27%
22°C
24%
23°C
26%
24°C
15%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 27%
23°C 26%
22°C 24%
24°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
$2,508 ปริมาณ
27%
22°C
$836 ปริมาณ
24%
23°C
$598 ปริมาณ
26%
24°C
$829 ปริมาณ
15%
25°C
$512 ปริมาณ
6%
26°C
$530 ปริมาณ
3%
27°C
$69 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$544 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$111 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$31 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$171 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The onset of Chongqing’s autumn rainy season around September 15 is the main driver keeping market-implied odds clustered around 21–23 °C for the September 17 daily maximum. Persistent cloud cover, light-to-moderate rainfall, and northeasterly flow are limiting daytime heating, with multiple official and model forecasts showing highs of 21–25 °C under mostly overcast skies and dew points near 19–20 °C. Historical September climatology (average high ~27 °C) is being suppressed by this early-season moisture surge, which also increases the chance of embedded heavier cells that could briefly cool the boundary layer further. Minor differences among global and regional models in rain timing or any brief afternoon breaks explain the tight spread between the 21 °C-or-below, 22 °C, and 23 °C contracts; traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration update for any shift in the 24-hour rainfall or wind forecasts that could nudge the realized peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,700วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The onset of Chongqing’s autumn rainy season around September 15 is the main driver keeping market-implied odds clustered around 21–23 °C for the September 17 daily maximum. Persistent cloud cover, light-to-moderate rainfall, and northeasterly flow are limiting daytime heating, with multiple official and model forecasts showing highs of 21–25 °C under mostly overcast skies and dew points near 19–20 °C. Historical September climatology (average high ~27 °C) is being suppressed by this early-season moisture surge, which also increases the chance of embedded heavier cells that could briefly cool the boundary layer further. Minor differences among global and regional models in rain timing or any brief afternoon breaks explain the tight spread between the 21 °C-or-below, 22 °C, and 23 °C contracts; traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration update for any shift in the 24-hour rainfall or wind forecasts that could nudge the realized peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,700วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The onset of Chongqing’s autumn rainy season around September 15 is the main driver keeping market-implied odds clustered around 21–23 °C for the September 17 daily maximum. Persistent cloud cover, light-to-moderate rainfall, and northeasterly flow are limiting daytime heating, with multiple official and model forecasts showing highs of 21–25 °C under mostly overcast skies and dew points near 19–20 °C. Historical September climatology (average high ~27 °C) is being suppressed by this early-season moisture surge, which also increases the chance of embedded heavier cells that could briefly cool the boundary layer further. Minor differences among global and regional models in rain timing or any brief afternoon breaks explain the tight spread between the 21 °C-or-below, 22 °C, and 23 °C contracts; traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration update for any shift in the 24-hour rainfall or wind forecasts that could nudge the realized peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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