Forecast consensus from KNMI and supporting models points to a September 17 maximum near 18°C in Amsterdam, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and moderate southwest winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the market's leading 18°C outcome at 55.5% implied probability, while the 17°C and 19°C shares reflect remaining uncertainty in exact timing of any brief clearing or slight model spread. The setup deviates below the long-term average high near 19°C due to an active frontal pattern suppressing insolation. Official resolution will rely on verified maximum readings, typically from Schiphol or equivalent stations, with final model guidance and observational updates expected overnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 17?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 17?
18°C 56%
19°C 19%
17°C 17%
16°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
17%
18°C
56%
19°C
19%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 56%
19°C 19%
17°C 17%
16°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
12°C or below
$387 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$104 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$57 ปริมาณ
1%
15°C
$179 ปริมาณ
2%
16°C
$478 ปริมาณ
4%
17°C
$371 ปริมาณ
17%
18°C
$730 ปริมาณ
56%
19°C
$380 ปริมาณ
19%
20°C
$282 ปริมาณ
4%
21°C
$36 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C or higher
$75 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from KNMI and supporting models points to a September 17 maximum near 18°C in Amsterdam, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and moderate southwest winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the market's leading 18°C outcome at 55.5% implied probability, while the 17°C and 19°C shares reflect remaining uncertainty in exact timing of any brief clearing or slight model spread. The setup deviates below the long-term average high near 19°C due to an active frontal pattern suppressing insolation. Official resolution will rely on verified maximum readings, typically from Schiphol or equivalent stations, with final model guidance and observational updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,081วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from KNMI and supporting models points to a September 17 maximum near 18°C in Amsterdam, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and moderate southwest winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the market's leading 18°C outcome at 55.5% implied probability, while the 17°C and 19°C shares reflect remaining uncertainty in exact timing of any brief clearing or slight model spread. The setup deviates below the long-term average high near 19°C due to an active frontal pattern suppressing insolation. Official resolution will rely on verified maximum readings, typically from Schiphol or equivalent stations, with final model guidance and observational updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,081วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from KNMI and supporting models points to a September 17 maximum near 18°C in Amsterdam, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and moderate southwest winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the market's leading 18°C outcome at 55.5% implied probability, while the 17°C and 19°C shares reflect remaining uncertainty in exact timing of any brief clearing or slight model spread. The setup deviates below the long-term average high near 19°C due to an active frontal pattern suppressing insolation. Official resolution will rely on verified maximum readings, typically from Schiphol or equivalent stations, with final model guidance and observational updates expected overnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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