Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) patterns and scattered thunderstorms over Luzon continue to shape conditions for Manila's September 18 overnight low, with official forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicating nighttime minima clustered near 24–26°C amid high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light variable winds. Frequent convective activity and overcast skies limit radiative cooling, while urban heat island effects from dense infrastructure further moderate temperature drops compared to rural baselines. Model consensus shows limited spread in guidance, but timing of any showers and exact cloud persistence introduce meaningful uncertainty in the precise minimum. With market-implied odds remaining near 50% across the 20–30°C range, traders appear to price in this inherent short-range forecast variability ahead of final observational data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Manila on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 18?
20°C or below 95%
30°C or higher 95%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
95%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
23%
28°C
40%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
95%
20°C or below 95%
30°C or higher 95%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
95%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
27°C
$32 ปริมาณ
23%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
30°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) patterns and scattered thunderstorms over Luzon continue to shape conditions for Manila's September 18 overnight low, with official forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicating nighttime minima clustered near 24–26°C amid high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light variable winds. Frequent convective activity and overcast skies limit radiative cooling, while urban heat island effects from dense infrastructure further moderate temperature drops compared to rural baselines. Model consensus shows limited spread in guidance, but timing of any showers and exact cloud persistence introduce meaningful uncertainty in the precise minimum. With market-implied odds remaining near 50% across the 20–30°C range, traders appear to price in this inherent short-range forecast variability ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) patterns and scattered thunderstorms over Luzon continue to shape conditions for Manila's September 18 overnight low, with official forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicating nighttime minima clustered near 24–26°C amid high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light variable winds. Frequent convective activity and overcast skies limit radiative cooling, while urban heat island effects from dense infrastructure further moderate temperature drops compared to rural baselines. Model consensus shows limited spread in guidance, but timing of any showers and exact cloud persistence introduce meaningful uncertainty in the precise minimum. With market-implied odds remaining near 50% across the 20–30°C range, traders appear to price in this inherent short-range forecast variability ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) patterns and scattered thunderstorms over Luzon continue to shape conditions for Manila's September 18 overnight low, with official forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicating nighttime minima clustered near 24–26°C amid high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light variable winds. Frequent convective activity and overcast skies limit radiative cooling, while urban heat island effects from dense infrastructure further moderate temperature drops compared to rural baselines. Model consensus shows limited spread in guidance, but timing of any showers and exact cloud persistence introduce meaningful uncertainty in the precise minimum. With market-implied odds remaining near 50% across the 20–30°C range, traders appear to price in this inherent short-range forecast variability ahead of final observational data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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